Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for NY Cosmos had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest NY Cosmos win was 1-0 (7.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.