Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026 12.30am

Philadelphia Union vs Necaxa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 1.00am
Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Philadelphia

Necaxa

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 1.30am
Chicago Fire 2 - 0 Necaxa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw has a probability of 23.72% and a win for Necaxa has a probability of 19.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.67%) , while for a Necaxa win it is 0-1 (5.88%).

Result

Philadelphia Union 56.54% (-0.11)
Draw 23.72% (+0.01)
Necaxa 19.78% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.55% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.4% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 24.6% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 52.19% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 47.81% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 30.19% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 69.81% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 18.23% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 81.77% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Philadelphia Union 41.54% (+0.07)
Draw 40.21% (+0.10)
Necaxa 18.24% (-0.17)

Team To Score First

Philadelphia Union 64.4% (+0.25)
No Goal 7.23% (-0.01)
Necaxa 28.37% (-0.24)

Corners

Over 8 62.42% (-0.11)
Equal 8 10.26%
Under 8 27.33% (+0.11)
Over 9 51.59% (-0.10)
Equal 9 10.83% (-0.01)
Under 9 37.58% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 41.03% (-0.09)
Under 10.5 58.97% (+0.09)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 1.5 52.28% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 47.72% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 26.58% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 73.42% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 11.1% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 88.9% (+0.03)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5 54.54% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 45.46% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 22.38% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 77.62% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 7.42% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.58% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.28% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.72% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Philadelphia Union 56.55%
Draw 23.71%
Necaxa 19.79%
Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 11.54% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.86% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.78% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 6.1% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.75%
3-2 @ 2.66% (+0.03)
Other @ 10.86% (-0.03)
Total : 56.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.67%
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.6% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.71%
Necaxa
0-1 @ 5.88% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.96% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.74% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.46% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.08% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.04% (+0.02)
Total : 19.79%