Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026 1.30am
SeatGeek Stadium

Chicago Fire vs Necaxa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Necaxa

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 57.71%. A draw has a probability of 21.9% and a win for Necaxa has a probability of 20.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.74%) , while for a Necaxa win it is 1-2 (5.26%).

Result

Chicago Fire 57.71% (-0.08)
Draw 21.9% (+0.04)
Necaxa 20.37% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.03% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.47% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 20.53% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 58.14% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 41.82% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 35.34% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 64.66% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 22.19% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 77.81% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Chicago Fire 43.51% (-0.14)
Draw 38.08% (+0.11)
Necaxa 18.42% (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Chicago Fire 63.95% (-0.05)
No Goal 5.68% (+0.05)
Necaxa 30.37% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 63.7% (-0.09)
Equal 8 10.55%
Under 8 25.74% (+0.09)
Over 9 52.44% (-0.09)
Equal 9 11.26% (-0.01)
Under 9 36.3% (+0.09)
Over 10.5 41.4% (-0.07)
Under 10.5 58.6% (+0.07)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 1.5 56.09% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 43.91% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 30.3% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 69.7% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 13.24% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 86.76% (+0.08)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5 56.18% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 43.82% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 25.16% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 74.84% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 8.96%
Under 2.5 91.04%
Over 3.5 2.94%
Under 3.5 97.06%

Score analysis

Chicago Fire 57.71%
Draw 21.9%
Necaxa 20.38%
Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 10.02% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.83% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 8.99% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.3% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.25% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.01)
Other @ 13.01% (-0.08)
Total : 57.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.74% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.68% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.9%
Necaxa
1-2 @ 5.26%
0-1 @ 5.01% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.58%
1-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.73%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 20.38%