Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026 1.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT SeatGeek Stadium
  • Jonathan Dean 31' goal
  • Andrew Gutman 69' goal
  • yellowcard Raúl Alejandro Martínez Ruiz 23'
  • yellowcard Danny Leyva 61'
  • yellowcard Mauro Zaleta 61'

Chicago Fire vs Necaxa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Necaxa

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 60.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.12% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 18.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%) , while for a Necaxa win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Chicago Fire 60.07% (+2.36)
Draw 21.12% (-0.78)
Necaxa 18.79% (-1.59)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.69% (-0.35)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.04% (+0.58)
Under 1.5 19.96% (-0.58)
Over 2.5 58.87% (+0.73)
Under 2.5 41.13% (-0.69)
Over 3.5 36.3% (+0.96)
Under 3.5 63.7% (-0.96)
Over 4.5 23.17% (+0.99)
Under 4.5 76.83% (-0.99)

First Half Winner

Chicago Fire 43.56% (+0.06)
Draw 38.1% (+0.03)
Necaxa 18.34% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Chicago Fire 64.24% (+0.29)
No Goal 5.4% (-0.28)
Necaxa 30.36% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 47.29% (-16.42)
Equal 8 11.1% (+0.55)
Under 8 41.61% (+15.87)
Over 9 36.84% (-15.60)
Equal 9 10.45% (-0.82)
Under 9 52.71% (+16.42)
Over 10.5 27.73% (-13.67)
Under 10.5 72.27% (+13.67)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 1.5 58.19% (+2.10)
Under 1.5 41.81% (-2.10)
Over 2.5 32.32% (+2.02)
Under 2.5 67.68% (-2.02)
Over 3.5 14.6% (+1.36)
Under 3.5 85.4% (-1.36)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5 54.24% (-1.94)
Under 0.5 45.76% (+1.94)
Over 1.5 23.75% (-1.41)
Under 1.5 76.25% (+1.41)
Over 2.5 8.2% (-0.77)
Under 2.5 91.8% (+0.76)
Over 3.5 2.59% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 97.41% (+0.35)

Score analysis

Chicago Fire 60.07%
Draw 21.11%
Necaxa 18.79%
Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.12)
1-0 @ 9.84% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.4% (+0.42)
3-0 @ 6.7% (+0.41)
3-1 @ 6.49% (+0.25)
3-2 @ 3.35% (+0.05)
Other @ 14.39% (+1.39)
Total : 60.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.41% (-0.34)
0-0 @ 5.4% (-0.28)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.14)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.21% (-0.03)
Total : 21.11%
Necaxa
1-2 @ 4.93% (-0.34)
0-1 @ 4.69% (-0.32)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.23)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.15)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.18)
Other @ 2.38% (-0.34)
Total : 18.79%