Liga MX Gameweek 2
Necaxa
Jul 27, 2026 12.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
Monterrey
  • Ricardo Monreal 5' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Faravelli 27' yellowcard
  • Julián Carranza 56' goal
  • Martin Varini 79' yellowcard
  • Juan Valencia 90'+1' goal
  • redcard Stefan Medina 20'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Chávez 32'
  • yellowcard Carlos Salcedo 36'
  • goal Lucas Ocampos 67'

Necaxa vs Monterrey - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions
Last game
Jul 17, 2026 2.00am
Necaxa 2 - 1 Atlante

Monterrey

All competitions
Last game
Jul 19, 2026 2.05am
Monterrey 3 - 2 Santos Laguna

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (8.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

Necaxa 37.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 26.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Monterrey 36.78% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.78% ▲ (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.89% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 1.5 25.11% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 51.04% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 2.5 48.96% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 3.5 28.69% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 71.31% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 4.5 16.03% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 4.5 83.97% ▼ (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Necaxa 28.65%
Draw 40.69%
Monterrey 30.67%

Team To Score First

Necaxa 46.92% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 7.44% ▼ (-0.06)
Monterrey 45.64% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 65.04%
Equal 8 10.74%
Under 8 24.22%
Over 9 53.42%
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 34.96%
Over 10.5 41.93%
Under 10.5 58.07%

Necaxa Goals

Over 1.5 37.25% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 62.75% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 14.73% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 85.27% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 4.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.26% ▼ (-0.04)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5 70.14% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 29.86% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 37.18% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 62.82% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 15.32% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 84.68% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 5.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.95% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Necaxa 37.07%
Draw 26.19%
Monterrey 36.78%
Necaxa
1-0 @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.47% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 37.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 26.19%
Monterrey
0-1 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.67%
1-3 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 36.78%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 2
Necaxa
Jan 14, 2026 1.00am
0
2
HT : 0 4
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
Monterrey
  • Kevin Gutierrez 46' yellowcard
  • Julian Carranza 46' yellowcard
  • Kevin Gutiérrez 46' yellowcard
  • Julián Carranza 46' yellowcard
  • Agustin Almendra 67' yellowcard
  • Franco Rossano Erchuk 67' yellowcard
  • Agustín Almendra 67' yellowcard
  • Franco Rossano 67' yellowcard
  • goal German Berterame 15'
  • goal Germán Berterame 15'
  • goal Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa 31'
  • goal Iker Fimbres 31'
  • yellowcard Daniel Aceves 72'
  • yellowcard Daniel Alonso Aceves Patiño 72'
  • yellowcard Anthony Martial 77'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Alejandro Moxica Chapa 77'
  • yellowcard Jorge Rodriguez 77'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Moxica 77'
  • yellowcard Jorge Rodríguez 77'
  • yellowcard Stefan Medina 82'
Liga MX
Monterrey
Aug 24, 2025 2.00am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Necaxa
Liga MX Gameweek 5
Monterrey
Feb 2, 2025 1.05am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio BBVA Bancomer
Necaxa
  • Fidel Ambriz 45'+1' goal
  • Fidel Ambriz 45'+1' goal
  • Sergio Canales 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Sergio Canales 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Erick Aguirre 83' yellowcard
  • Erick Aguirre 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diber Cambindo 16'
  • yellowcard Diber Cambindo 16'
  • yellowcard Diego de Buen 38'
  • yellowcard Diego de Buen 38'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Monreal 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Monreal 45'+3'
Liga MX Gameweek 3
Necaxa
Jul 18, 2024 2.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
Monterrey
  • Fernando Arce 62' yellowcard
  • Fernando Arce 62' yellowcard
  • Bryan Garnica 79' yellowcard
  • Bryan Garnica 79' redcard
  • Bryan Garnica 79' yellowcard
  • Bryan Garnica 79' redcard
  • Agustin Oliveros 80' yellowcard
  • Agustin Oliveros 80' yellowcard
  • goal Jordi Cortizo 57'
  • goal Jordi Cortizo 57'
  • yellowcard Sergio Canales 79'
  • yellowcard Sergio Canales 79'
Liga MX Gameweek 17
Necaxa
Apr 29, 2024 1.00am
2
5
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
Monterrey
  • Alejandro Mayorga 39' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Mayorga 39' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Fentanes 40' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Fentanes 40' yellowcard
  • Diber Cambindo 59' goal
  • Diber Cambindo 59' goal
  • Diego Gomez 74' yellowcard
  • Fernando Arce 74' yellowcard
  • Fernando Arce 76' yellowcard
  • Fernando Arce 76' yellowcard
  • Raul Gudino 78' redcard
  • Raul Gudino 78' redcard
  • Heriberto Jurado 90'+6' goal
  • Heriberto Jurado 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Sebastian Vegas 41'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Vegas 41'
  • yellowcard Diego Gomez 44'
  • yellowcard Diego Gomez 44'
  • goal German Berterame 50'
  • goal German Berterame 50'
  • goal Sergio Canales 52'
  • goal Sergio Canales 52'
  • goal Sergio Canales 64'
  • goal Sergio Canales 64'
  • goal Alfonso Gonzalez 81'
  • goal Alfonso Gonzalez 81'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 86'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 86'
Liga MX Gameweek 15
Monterrey
Nov 1, 2023 3.10am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio BBVA Bancomer
Necaxa
  • Sebastian Vegas 45'+1' goal
  • Sebastian Vegas 45'+2' goal
  • German Berterame 54' goal
  • German Berterame 54' goal
  • Victor Lopez 90'+1' goal
  • Victor Lopez 90'+1' goal

Form Data

Necaxa 2 - 1 Atlante
Club Leon 0 - 0 Necaxa
Atlas 0 - 0 Necaxa
Correcaminos UAT 0 - 0 Necaxa
Necaxa 0 - 0 Morelia
Cruz Azul 4 - 1 Necaxa
Monterrey 3 - 2 Santos Laguna
Monterrey 1 - 1 Atlante
Cancún 1 - 4 Monterrey
Santos Laguna 3 - 0 Monterrey
Monterrey 2 - 1 Puebla
Monterrey 1 - 3 Pachuca