Club Friendlies 3
Jun 20, 2026 1.00am
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa vs Morelia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 11.00pm
Club Leon 1 - 2 Necaxa

Morelia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Necaxa win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Morelia has a probability of 27.18% and a draw has a probability of 25.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.3%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Morelia win is 0-1 (7.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.16%).

Result

Necaxa 47.2% (+0.25)
Draw 25.62% (-0.01)
Morelia 27.18% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.67% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.02%
Under 1.5 24.98%
Over 2.5 51.4% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 48.6% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 27.84% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 72.16% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 15.33% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 84.67% (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Necaxa 35.6%
Draw 41.78% (+0.01)
Morelia 22.62% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Necaxa 54.47% (+0.15)
No Goal 7.03%
Morelia 38.5% (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 63.85% (-0.08)
Equal 8 10.57% (+0.01)
Under 8 25.58% (+0.07)
Over 9 52.56% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.29%
Under 9 36.15% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 41.49% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 58.51% (+0.08)

Necaxa Goals

Over 1.5 45.21% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 54.79% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 19.82% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 80.18% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 6.65% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.35% (-0.03)

Morelia Goals

Over 0.5 63.88% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 36.12% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 29.21% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 70.79% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 9.69% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 90.31% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 2.61% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 97.39% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Necaxa 47.21%
Draw 25.64%
Morelia 27.17%
Necaxa
1-0 @ 10.5% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 10.3% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 7.57% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.74%
3-0 @ 4.4% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.06% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.64% (+0.02)
Total : 47.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.16% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.03%
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.64%
Morelia
0-1 @ 7.47% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.6% (-0.09)
Total : 27.17%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 9
Mar 8, 2020 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Juan Delgado 25' goal
  • Juan Delgado 45' yellowcard
  • Jose Doldan 77' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Chavez 90' yellowcard
  • goal Carlos Vargas 4'
  • goal Lucas Villafanez 19'
  • yellowcard Martin Rodriguez 45'
  • yellowcard Lucas Villafanez 47'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Vegas 59'
  • yellowcard Cesar Huerta 84'
  • redcard Cesar Huerta 86'
Liga MX Gameweek 13
Oct 5, 2019 3.00am
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón (Morelia)
  • Eduardo Del Angel 23' goal
  • Edison Flores 45' goal
  • Sebastian Vegas 76' yellowcard
  • Fernando Aristeguieta 77' yellowcard
  • Mario Trejo 83' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Ferreira 92' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Delgado 44'
  • goal Mauro Quiroga 54'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Salas 58'
  • goal Mauro Quiroga 63'
  • goal Felipe Gallegos 84'
Liga MX
Jan 27, 2019 3.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Brian Fernandez 13' yellowcard
  • Angel Sepulveda 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edison Flores 54'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Vegas 76'
  • yellowcard Mario Osuna 82'
  • yellowcard Roberto Meraz 91'
Liga MX Gameweek 4
Aug 11, 2018 3.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón (Morelia)
  • Diego Valdes 19' goal
  • Gabriel Achilier 56' goal
  • Efrain Velarde 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fernando Gonzalez 22'
  • goal Brian Fernandez 51'
  • yellowcard Leobardo Lopez 55'
Liga MX
Apr 28, 2018 1.00am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón (Morelia)
  • Raul Ruidiaz 22' goal
  • Emanuel Loeschbor 70' yellowcard
  • Gerardo Rodriguez 84' goal
  • Diego Valdes 86' yellowcard
  • goal Carlos Gonzalez 19'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gonzalez 55'
  • yellowcard Mario de Luna 60'
  • goal Carlos Gonzalez 81'
Liga MX
Nov 19, 2017 3.00am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes (Aguascalientes)
  • Martin Barragan 47' goal
  • Igor Lichnovsky 55' yellowcard
  • Luis Ernesto Perez Martinez 77' yellowcard
  • goal Mario Osuna 19'
  • goal Raul Ruidiaz 24'
  • yellowcard Aldo Rocha 85'
  • yellowcard Mario Osuna 90'