Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 64.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.19% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 14.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%) , while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (4.67%).