Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 2-1 (6.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.