Liga MX Gameweek 15
Apr 19, 2026 12.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
  • Tomás Badaloni 34' goal
  • Kevin Rosero 55' yellowcard
  • Franco Rossano 76' yellowcard
  • Rogelio Cortéz 84' yellowcard
  • Emilio Lara 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ángel Correa 46'
  • yellowcard Diego Lainez 56'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Aguirre 67'
  • yellowcard Diego Sánchez 67'
  • yellowcard Jesús Angulo 76'
  • goal Ángel Correa 90'+6'

Necaxa vs Tigres - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 12.00am
Queretaro 3 - 1 Necaxa
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Tomas Badaloni

Tigres

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 12.00am
Tigres 4 - 1 Guadalajara
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Angel Correa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 37.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 2-1 (8.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result

Necaxa 37.47% (+0.04)
Draw 24.29%
Tigres 38.27%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.06% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.4% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 21.6% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 55.38% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 44.62% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.87% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 67.13% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 18.86% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 81.14% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Necaxa 28.97%
Draw 43.42%
Tigres 27.61%

Team To Score First

Necaxa 44.43% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.43% (+0.01)
Tigres 50.14%

Corners

Over 8 61.24%
Equal 8 11.47%
Under 8 27.29%
Over 9 49.2%
Equal 9 12.04%
Under 9 38.76%
Over 10.5 37.67%
Under 10.5 62.33%

Necaxa Goals

Over 1.5 40.02% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 59.98% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 16.45% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 83.55% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.56% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.44% (-0.02)

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5 72.7% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 27.3% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 40.34% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 59.66% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 17.09%
Under 2.5 82.91%
Over 3.5 5.72%
Under 3.5 94.28%

Score analysis

Necaxa 37.48%
Draw 24.3%
Tigres 38.27%
Necaxa
2-1 @ 8.57%
1-0 @ 8.08%
2-0 @ 5.71% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-2 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.58% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.55% (+0.02)
Total : 37.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.95% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.43% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.3%
Tigres
1-2 @ 8.67%
0-1 @ 8.14%
0-2 @ 5.7%
1-3 @ 4.01%
2-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 2.7%
Other @ 5.71%
Total : 38.27%

Head to Head

Liga MX
Oct 18, 2025 4.00am
5
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX
May 12, 2025 4.10am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon
  • Juan Brunetta 51' goal
  • Juan Brunetta 51' goal
  • Fernando Gorriaran 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Fernando Gorriaran 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Mayorga 90'+7' goal
  • Alejandro Mayorga 90'+7' goal
  • goal Agustin Palavecino 63'
  • goal Agustin Palavecino 63'
  • goal Tomas Badaloni 86'
  • goal Tomas Badaloni 86'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Andrade 90'+16'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Andrade 90'+16'
Liga MX
May 9, 2025 2.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
  • Jose Paradela 80' yellowcard
  • Jose Paradela 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Sanchez 88'
  • yellowcard Juan Sanchez 88'
  • yellowcard Romulo Zwarg 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Romulo Zwarg 90'+9'
Liga MX Gameweek 10
Mar 2, 2025 1.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
  • Jose Paradela 22' yellowcard
  • Jose Paradela 22' yellowcard
  • Emilio Lara 76' yellowcard
  • Emilio Lara 76' yellowcard
  • Agustin Palavecino 82' goal
  • Agustin Palavecino 82' goal
  • goal Juan Brunetta 53'
  • goal Juan Brunetta 53'
  • goal Jose Garcia 90'+4'
  • goal Jose Garcia 90'+4'
Liga MX Gameweek 1
Jul 7, 2024 2.00am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon
  • Andre-Pierre Gignac 19' goal
  • Andre-Pierre Gignac 19' goal
  • Nicolas Ibanez 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bryan Roque 86'
  • yellowcard Bryan Roque 86'
Liga MX Gameweek 16
Apr 21, 2024 2.05am
5
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon
  • Eduardo Tercero 20' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Tercero 20' yellowcard
  • Andre-Pierre Gignac 51' goal
  • Andre-Pierre Gignac 51' goal
  • Jonathan Herrera 54' goal
  • Jonathan Herrera 54' goal
  • Marcelo Flores 59' goal
  • Marcelo Flores 59' goal
  • Marcelo Flores 62' goal
  • Marcelo Flores 62' goal
  • Marcelo Flores 69' goal
  • Marcelo Flores 69' goal
  • Samir 86' yellowcard
  • Samir 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Braian Samudio 30'
  • yellowcard Braian Samudio 30'
  • goal Braian Samudio 33'
  • goal Braian Samudio 33'
  • goal Alejandro Andrade 72'
  • goal Alejandro Andrade 73'
  • yellowcard Andres Colorado 84'
  • yellowcard Andres Colorado 84'
  • yellowcard Jorge Rodriguez 86'
  • yellowcard Jorge Rodriguez 86'