Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 37.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 2-1 (8.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.