Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.64% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 21.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.08%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%) , while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.