Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 56.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.72% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 20.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.15%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%) , while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.