Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 51.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.82% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 22.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%) , while for a Queretaro win it was 1-0 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.