Liga MX Gameweek 1
Jul 17, 2026 2.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
  • Raúl Alejandro Martínez Ruiz 42' yellowcard
  • Julián Carranza 80' goal
  • Misael Pedroza 90'+3' goal
  • goal Eugenio Pizzuto 47'
  • yellowcard Nico Carrera 69'
  • yellowcard Walter Portales 86'

Necaxa vs Atlante - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2026 2.05am
Cruz Azul 4 - 1 Necaxa

Atlante

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Atlante had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Atlante win was 1-2 (7.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result

Necaxa 41.63% (+0.04)
Draw 25.22%
Atlante 33.18%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.59%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.43% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.57% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 54.5%
Under 2.5 45.5%
Over 3.5 31.46%
Under 3.5 68.54%
Over 4.5 18.15% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 81.85% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Necaxa 29.44%
Draw 42.83%
Atlante 27.72%

Team To Score First

Necaxa 48.03%
No Goal 6.45%
Atlante 45.52%

Corners

Over 8 63.19%
Equal 8 11.33%
Under 8 25.48%
Over 9 51.09%
Equal 9 12.1%
Under 9 36.81%
Over 10.5 39.34%
Under 10.5 60.66%

Necaxa Goals

Over 1.5 42.6% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 57.4% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 18.89% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 81.11% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.5%
Under 3.5 93.5%

Atlante Goals

Over 0.5 68.37% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.63% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 35.9% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 64.1% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 14.43% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.57% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.98%
Under 3.5 95.02%

Score analysis

Necaxa 41.63%
Draw 25.22%
Atlante 33.18%
Necaxa
2-1 @ 8.99%
1-0 @ 8.7% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.52% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.4% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 3.03%
Other @ 6.32%
Total : 41.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.63%
0-0 @ 6.45%
2-2 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.22%
Atlante
1-2 @ 7.99%
0-1 @ 7.45% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.78%
1-3 @ 3.24%
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.39%
Other @ 4.8%
Total : 33.18%