Liga MX Gameweek 1
Jul 17, 2026 2.00am
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa vs Atlante - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2026 2.05am
Cruz Azul 4 - 1 Necaxa

Atlante

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Necaxa win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Atlante has a probability of 33.14% and a draw has a probability of 25.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win is 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Atlante win is 1-2 (8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.63%).

Result

Necaxa 41.6% (-0.08)
Draw 25.22% (-0.04)
Atlante 33.14% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.56% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.35% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 22.65% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 54.43% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 45.57% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 31.36% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 68.64% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 18.08% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 81.92% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Necaxa 29.44% (-0.08)
Draw 42.83% (-0.18)
Atlante 27.72% (+0.24)

Team To Score First

Necaxa 48.02% (-0.08)
No Goal 6.47% (+0.01)
Atlante 45.51% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 63.19% (+0.09)
Equal 8 11.33% (+0.01)
Under 8 25.48% (-0.09)
Over 9 51.09% (+0.07)
Equal 9 12.1% (+0.02)
Under 9 36.81% (-0.09)
Over 10.5 39.34% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 60.66% (-0.05)

Necaxa Goals

Over 1.5 42.55% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 57.45% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 18.85% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 81.15% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 6.48% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.52% (+0.02)

Atlante Goals

Over 0.5 68.3%
Under 0.5 31.7%
Over 1.5 35.83% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 64.17% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 14.38% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 85.62% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.96% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.04% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Necaxa 41.61%
Draw 25.22%
Atlante 33.14%
Necaxa
2-1 @ 9% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.7% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.52%
3-1 @ 4.39%
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.3% (-0.03)
Total : 41.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.47% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.22%
Atlante
1-2 @ 8% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.45% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.77% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.22%
2-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.78% (+0.03)
Total : 33.14%