Club Friendlies 3
Jul 10, 2026 1.00am
Estadio Nemesio Díez

Toluca vs Atlante - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 4, 2026 2.00am
Cancún 1 - 0 Toluca

Atlante

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 4, 2026 1.00am
Monterrey 1 - 1 Atlante

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toluca win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw has a probability of 24.16% and a win for Atlante has a probability of 23.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.36%) , while for a Atlante win it is 1-2 (6.46%).

Result

Toluca 52.72% (-0.35)
Draw 24.16% (+0.02)
Atlante 23.11% (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.58% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.45% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 19.55% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 57.86% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 42.14% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 35.23% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 64.77% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 21.32% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 78.68% (-0.12)

First Half Winner

Toluca 38.8% (-0.15)
Draw 40.2% (+0.16)
Atlante 21% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Toluca 58.6% (+0.11)
No Goal 5.4% (-0.02)
Atlante 36% (-0.10)

Corners

Over 8 55.98% (-0.64)
Equal 8 11.6% (-0.04)
Under 8 32.42% (+0.67)
Over 9 44.32% (-0.54)
Equal 9 11.65% (-0.10)
Under 9 44.02% (+0.64)
Over 10.5 33.57% (-0.41)
Under 10.5 66.43% (+0.42)

Toluca Goals

Over 1.5 53.46% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 46.54% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 27.4% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 72.6% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 11.34% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 88.66% (+0.02)

Atlante Goals

Over 0.5 61.81% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 38.19% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 28.91% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 71.09% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 9.95% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 90.05% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 2.9% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 97.1% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Toluca 52.74%
Draw 24.16%
Atlante 23.11%
Toluca
2-1 @ 10.18% (-0.08)
1-0 @ 8.88% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.04% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.08% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 4.82% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.01)
Other @ 11.06% (-0.03)
Total : 52.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.64% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.4% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.48% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.28% (+0.02)
Total : 24.16%
Atlante
1-2 @ 6.46% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 5.28%
0-2 @ 3.18% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.2% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.19% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.18% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.62% (+0.10)
Total : 23.11%