Club Friendlies 3
Jul 4, 2026 2.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • 5' goal

Cancún vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cancún

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jun 21, 2026 11.30pm
Cancún 1 - 4 Monterrey

Toluca

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Cancún had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.98%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Cancún win was 2-1 (6.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Cancún 24.92% (-0.01)
Draw 23.87% (+0.05)
Toluca 51.21% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.67% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 23.33% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 53.01% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 46.98% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 30.17% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 69.83% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 17.58% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 82.42% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Cancún 21.57% (+0.06)
Draw 42.36% (+0.02)
Toluca 36.07% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Cancún 35.73% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.35% (+0.03)
Toluca 57.92%

Corners

Over 8 61.22% (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.41% (+0.01)
Under 8 28.36% (+0.02)
Over 9 50.35% (-0.04)
Equal 9 10.87% (+0.01)
Under 9 38.78% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 39.86% (-0.05)
Under 10.5 60.14% (+0.05)

Cancún Goals

Over 1.5 27.63% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 72.37% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 8.44% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 91.56% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.41% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.59% (+0.02)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 79.46% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 20.54% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 48.85% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 51.15% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 23.4% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 76.6% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 9.25% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 90.75% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Cancún 24.93%
Draw 23.88%
Toluca 51.21%
Cancún
2-1 @ 6.8% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.79% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 3.76% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.2% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.4% (-0.02)
Total : 24.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.4% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.35% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.88%
Toluca
0-1 @ 10.21% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 9.98%
0-2 @ 8.48%
1-3 @ 5.14% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.8%
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.02)
Other @ 9.24% (-0.03)
Total : 51.21%