/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F17%2Ftiglog.png)
-
Everardo del Villar
87'
-
Mauricio Isaís
96'
-
Jorge Díaz
104'
-
Diego Lainez
90'+3'
-
Joaquim Henrique Pereira Silva
114'
Toluca vs Tigres - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F05%2Fpaulinho-6a1795f9013c4375110538.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 51.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.54% and a win for Tigres had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%) , while for a Tigres win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result
Toluca
51.34%
▼
(-0.92)
Draw
24.54%
▲
(+0.12)
Tigres
24.09%
▲
(+0.77)
Both Teams to Score:
52.63%
▲
(+0.43)
Goals
Over 1.5
76.09%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 1.5
23.91%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 2.5
52.26%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 2.5
47.74%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 3.5
30.51%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 3.5
69.47%
▲
(+0.49)
Over 4.5
17.8%
▼
(-0.56)
Under 4.5
82.2%
▲
(+0.57)
First Half Winner
Toluca
38.28%
Draw
40.39%
Tigres
21.33%
Team To Score First
Toluca
56.94%
▼
(-0.03)
No Goal
6.52%
▲
(+0.03)
Tigres
36.54%
▼
(-0.01)
Corners
Over 8
33.24%
▼
(-17.81)
Equal 8
10.08%
▼
(-1.70)
Under 8
56.68%
▲
(+19.51)
Over 9
24.78%
▼
(-14.89)
Equal 9
8.45%
▼
(-2.94)
Under 9
66.76%
▲
(+17.82)
Over 10.5
18.19%
▼
(-11.35)
Under 10.5
81.81%
▲
(+11.36)
Toluca Goals
Over 1.5
49.45%
▼
(-0.94)
Under 1.5
50.55%
▲
(+0.94)
Over 2.5
23.66%
▼
(-0.74)
Under 2.5
76.34%
▲
(+0.75)
Over 3.5
9.55%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 3.5
90.45%
▲
(+0.55)
Tigres Goals
Over 0.5
59.52%
▲
(+0.93)
Under 0.5
40.48%
▼
(-0.93)
Over 1.5
26.82%
▲
(+0.50)
Under 1.5
73.18%
▼
(-0.49)
Over 2.5
9.24%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
90.76%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
2.61%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
97.39%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Toluca
51.34%
Draw
24.54%
Tigres
24.09%
Toluca
1-0
@
10.6%
▼
(-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 9.06% ▼ (-0.23)
3-1 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.17)
3-2 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.49)
Total : 51.34%
2-1 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 9.06% ▼ (-0.23)
3-1 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.17)
3-2 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.49)
Total : 51.34%
Draw
1-1
@
11.29%
▲
(+0.18)
0-0 @ 6.52% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.25% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 24.54%
0-0 @ 6.52% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.25% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 24.54%
Tigres
0-1
@
6.76%
▲
(+0.23)
1-2 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.21)
0-2 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.23)
1-3 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 24.09%
1-2 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.21)
0-2 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.23)
1-3 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 24.09%
Head to Head
Liga MX
Gameweek
3
-
Marcelo Flores
57'
-
Marcelo Flores
58'
-
Carlos Uriel
83'
-
Uriel Antuna
83'
-
Juan Vigon
89'
-
Juan Vigón
89'
-
Helinho
59'
-
Sebastian Cordova
76'
-
Nicolas Castro
76'
-
Sebastián Córdova
76'
-
Nicolás Castro
76'
Robert Morales
90'+2'
-
Paulinho
14'
-
Paulinho
14'
-
Alexis Vega
18'
-
Alexis Vega
18'
-
Juan Dominguez
37'
-
Juan Dominguez
37'
-
Jesus Gallardo
61'
-
Jesus Gallardo
61'
-
Edgar Lopez
79'
-
Edgar Lopez
79'
-
Alexis Vega
82'
-
Alexis Vega
82'
-
Joaquim
16'
-
Joaquim
16'
-
Juan Sanchez
26'
-
Juan Sanchez
26'