CONCACAF Champions League
May 31, 2026 1.00am
Estadio Nemesio Díez

Toluca vs Tigres - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions

Tigres

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toluca win with a probability of 52.26%. A draw has a probability of 24.39% and a win for Tigres has a probability of 23.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.1%) , while for a Tigres win it is 0-1 (6.52%).

Result

Toluca 52.26%
Draw 24.39%
Tigres 23.32%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.2%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.34% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 23.66% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 52.68%
Under 2.5 47.32%
Over 3.5 31.01%
Under 3.5 68.96% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 18.37%
Under 4.5 81.63%

First Half Winner

Toluca 38.28%
Draw 40.39%
Tigres 21.33%

Team To Score First

Toluca 56.97%
No Goal 6.47%
Tigres 36.56%

Corners

Over 8 51.05%
Equal 8 11.78%
Under 8 37.17%
Over 9 39.67%
Equal 9 11.38%
Under 9 48.95%
Over 10.5 29.54%
Under 10.5 70.46%

Toluca Goals

Over 1.5 50.43% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 49.57% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 24.43% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 75.57% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 10.1%
Under 3.5 89.9%

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5 58.62% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 41.38% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 26.35% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 73.65% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 9.23% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.77% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.66%
Under 3.5 97.34%

Score analysis

Toluca 52.26%
Draw 24.39%
Tigres 23.33%
Toluca
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.38%
2-0 @ 9.29% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.27% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.15%
3-2 @ 2.72%
Other @ 9.8%
Total : 52.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1%
0-0 @ 6.47%
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 24.39%
Tigres
0-1 @ 6.52%
1-2 @ 5.82% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.25% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 23.33%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 3
Jan 18, 2026 1.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León
  • Marcelo Flores 57' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Flores 58' yellowcard
  • Carlos Uriel 83' yellowcard
  • Uriel Antuna 83' yellowcard
  • Juan Vigon 89' yellowcard
  • Juan Vigón 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Helinho 59'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Cordova 76'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Castro 76'
  • yellowcard Sebastián Córdova 76'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Castro 76'
Liga MX
Dec 15, 2025 1.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
ET
  • Federico Pereira 12' yellowcard
  • Helinho 40' goal
  • Santiago Simon 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 52' goal
  • Paulinho 69' yellowcard
  • Diego Barbosa 117' yellowcard
  • goal Fernando Gorriaran 14'
  • yellowcard Angel Correa 64'
  • yellowcard Juan Brunetta 78'
  • yellowcard Fernando Gorriaran 96'
Liga MX
Dec 12, 2025 2.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jesus Angulo 17' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 18' yellowcard
  • 18' yellowcard
  • Angel Correa 46' goal
  • Jesus Garza 63' yellowcard
  • Jose Garcia 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesus Gallardo 23'
  • yellowcard Jesus Gallardo 24'
  • redcard Robert Morales 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Federico Pereira 90'+2'
Liga MX Gameweek 3
Jul 27, 2025 2.00am
3
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX
May 18, 2025 2.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Paulinho 14' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 14' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 18' goal
  • Alexis Vega 18' goal
  • Juan Dominguez 37' yellowcard
  • Juan Dominguez 37' yellowcard
  • Jesus Gallardo 61' yellowcard
  • Jesus Gallardo 61' yellowcard
  • Edgar Lopez 79' goal
  • Edgar Lopez 79' goal
  • Alexis Vega 82' goal
  • Alexis Vega 82' goal
  • yellowcard Joaquim 16'
  • yellowcard Joaquim 16'
  • yellowcard Juan Sanchez 26'
  • yellowcard Juan Sanchez 26'
Liga MX
May 15, 2025 4.00am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon
  • Nicolas Ibanez 19' goal
  • Nicolas Ibanez 19' goal
  • Jesus Angulo 89' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 89' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Guzman 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Guzman 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Paulinho 45'+1'
  • goal Paulinho 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Juan Dominguez 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Juan Dominguez 90'+3'