Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 49.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.31% and a win for Tigres had a probability of 25.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.98%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%) , while for a Tigres win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.