Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.08% and a win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 23.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%) , while for a CD Guadalajara win it was 1-2 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.