Aug 2, 2026 12.30am

3

2

HT : 0 1

FT Subaru Park

Milan Iloski 28'
Nathan Harriel 53'
Bruno Damiani 68'
Milan Iloski 73'
Neil Pierre 90'+6'
Ezekiel Alladoh 90'+7'

Enea Mihaj 26'
Miguel Almirón 30'
Lucas Hoyos 59'
Tristan Muyumba 66'
Elías Báez 90'+2'

Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Philadelphia vs Atlanta - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Philadelphia vs Atlanta - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 30 Jul 2026 20:56

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

W
W
L
D
L
L

Major League Soccer

W
W
L
D
L
L

Last game

Jul 26, 2026 12.30am

Philadelphia 1 - 0 Seattle

Goals scored

24

Top scorer

Milan Iloski

Atlanta United

All competitions

L
D
L
L
L
D

Major League Soccer

L
D
L
L
D
L

Last game

Jul 26, 2026 12.30am

New England 4 - 1 Atlanta

Goals scored

19

Top scorer

Aleksey Miranchuk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 55.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.94% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 19.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%) , while for a Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result

Philadelphia Union 55.27% ▼ (-0.04)

Draw 24.94% ▲ (+0.04)

Atlanta United 19.82% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score:

46.1%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.56% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 29.44% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 45.94% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 2.5 54.03%

Over 3.5 24.31%

Under 3.5 75.69%

Over 4.5 13.69%

Under 4.5 86.31%

First Half Winner

Philadelphia Union 42.48%

Draw 38.86%

Atlanta United 18.66%

Team To Score First

Philadelphia Union 60.95% ▼ (-0.01)

No Goal 8.69% ▲ (+0.01)

Atlanta United 30.36%

Corners

Over 8 62.84%

Equal 8 11.06%

Under 8 26.09%

Over 9 51.09%

Equal 9 11.75%

Under 9 37.16%

Over 10.5 39.68%

Under 10.5 60.32%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 1.5 47.59% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 1.5 52.41% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 2.5 21.94% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 2.5 78.06% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 3.5 8.3% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 91.7% ▲ (+0.02)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 53.17% ▲ (+0.07)

Under 0.5 46.83% ▼ (-0.07)

Over 1.5 20.06% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 1.5 79.94% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 2.5 5.91% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 2.5 94.09% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 1.42%

Under 3.5 98.58%

Score analysis

Philadelphia Union 55.28%

Draw 24.94%

Atlanta United 19.84%

Philadelphia Union

1-0 @ 13.88% ▲ (+0.02)

2-0 @ 10.47% ▲ (+0.01)

2-1 @ 9.86% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.03)

3-1 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.02)

3-2 @ 2.16%

Other @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.01)

Total : 55.28%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.26% ▲ (+0.01)

0-0 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.01)

2-2 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.13%

Total : 24.94%

Atlanta United

0-1 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.02)

1-2 @ 5%

0-2 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.03)

1-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.02)

2-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.02)

0-3 @ 1.09%

Other @ 1.29%

Total : 19.84%

Head to Head

Mar 14, 2026 7.15pm

3

1

HT : 1 0

FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Emmanuel Latte Lath 28'
Tomás Jacob 47'
Aleksey Miranchuk 68'
Fafà Picault 69'
Steven Alzate 69'
Saba Lobjanidze 78'
Matthew Edwards 87'
Pedro Amador 87'
Pedro Amador 88'
Matthew Edwards 88'

Milan Iloski 43'
Agustín Anello 57'
Alejandro Bedoya 57'
Ezekiel Alladoh 57'
Japhet Sery Larsen 77'
Jesús Bueno 81'
Agustín Anello 87'

May 18, 2025 12.30am

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Luis Abram 57'
Luis Abram 57'
Edwin Mosquera 90'+3'
Edwin Mosquera 90'+3'

Alejandro Bedoya 21'
Alejandro Bedoya 21'
Bruno Damiani 49'
Bruno Damiani 49'
Tai Baribo 59'
Tai Baribo 59'
Kai Wagner 89'
Kai Wagner 89'

Apr 20, 2025 12.30am

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT Subaru Park

Jakob Glesnes 19'
Quinn Sullivan 27'
Jovan Lukic 45'+3'
Danley Jean Jacques 50'
Jovan Lukic 56'
Danley Jean Jacques 57'
Tai Baribo 84'

Pedro Amador 68'
Emmanuel Latte Lath 70'

Sep 29, 2024 12.30am

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Subaru Park

19'
Nathan Harriel 61'
Nathan Harriel 61'
Mikael Uhre 68'
Mikael Uhre 68'
Mikael Uhre 69'
Nathan Harriel 69'
Nathan Harriel 76'

Brooks Lennon 52'
Brooks Lennon 52'
Saba Lobzhanidze 72'
Saba Lobzhanidze 72'

Apr 14, 2024 7.30pm

2

2

HT : 0 0

FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Thiago Almada 25'
Daniel Rios 55'
Caleb Wiley 63'
Tristan Muyumba 84'

Julian Carranza 21'
Daniel Gazdag 35'
Jose Andres Martinez 35'
Mikael Uhre 73'
Kai Wagner 75'
Kai Wagner 77'
Jack McGlynn 90'+5'

Oct 5, 2023 12.30am

3

2

HT : 6 0

FT Subaru Park

Jack Elliott 34'
Jack Elliott 34'
Daniel Gazdag 39'
Daniel Gazdag 39'
Mikael Uhre 41'
Mikael Uhre 41'
Julian Carranza 45'+3'
Julian Carranza 45'+3'
Quinn Sullivan 66'
Quinn Sullivan 66'
Jose Andres Martinez 75'
Jose Andres Martinez 75'
Nathan Harriel 81'
Nathan Harriel 81'

Thiago Almada 56'
Thiago Almada 56'
Jamal Thiare 75'
Jamal Thiare 75'
Edwin Mosquera 77'
Edwin Mosquera 77'

Form Data

Philadelphia 1 - 0 Seattle

Philadelphia 3 - 1 NY Red Bulls

Inter Miami 6 - 4 Philadelphia

Philadelphia 1 - 1 Columbus Crew

Orlando City 3 - 2 Philadelphia

New England 2 - 1 Philadelphia

New England 4 - 1 Atlanta

Charlotte FC 2 - 2 Atlanta

Nashville 1 - 0 Atlanta

Columbus Crew 2 - 0 Atlanta

Orlando City 4 - 1 Atlanta

Orlando City 1 - 1 Atlanta