Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Aug 2, 2026 12.30am
Subaru Park
Atlanta

Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 12.30am
Philadelphia 1 - 0 Seattle
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Milan Iloski

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 12.30am
New England 4 - 1 Atlanta
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 55.27%. A draw has a probability of 24.94% and a win for Atlanta United has a probability of 19.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.25%) , while for a Atlanta United win it is 0-1 (6.92%).

Result

Philadelphia Union 55.27% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 24.94%
Atlanta United 19.79% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.03% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 29.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 45.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 54.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 24.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 75.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 13.65% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 86.35% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Philadelphia Union 42.48%
Draw 38.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Atlanta United 18.66% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Philadelphia Union 60.93% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 8.72%
Atlanta United 30.35% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 62.84% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 26.09% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 9 51.09% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.75%
Under 9 37.16% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 10.5 39.68% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 10.5 60.32% ▼ (-0.05)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 1.5 47.55% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 52.45% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 21.92% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 78.08% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 8.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 91.71% ▲ (+0.03)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 53.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 46.93% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 19.98% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 80.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 5.87% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 94.13% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.59% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Philadelphia Union 55.27%
Draw 24.93%
Atlanta United 19.79%
Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 13.87%
2-0 @ 10.47%
2-1 @ 9.86% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.69%
3-1 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 55.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.25% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.72%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.93%
Atlanta United
0-1 @ 6.92% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.86%
1-3 @ 1.45%
2-3 @ 1.19%
0-3 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 19.79%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Mar 14, 2026 7.15pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Philadelphia
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 28' goal
  • Tomás Jacob 47' goal
  • Aleksey Miranchuk 68' goal
  • Fafà Picault 69' yellowcard
  • Steven Alzate 69' yellowcard
  • Saba Lobjanidze 78' yellowcard
  • Matthew Edwards 87' yellowcard
  • Pedro Amador 87' yellowcard
  • Pedro Amador 88' yellowcard
  • Matthew Edwards 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Milan Iloski 43'
  • yellowcard Agustín Anello 57'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Bedoya  57'
  • yellowcard Ezekiel Alladoh 57'
  • yellowcard Japhet Sery Larsen 77'
  • yellowcard Jesús Bueno 81'
  • goal Agustín Anello 87'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
May 18, 2025 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Philadelphia
  • Luis Abram 57' yellowcard
  • Luis Abram 57' yellowcard
  • Edwin Mosquera 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Edwin Mosquera 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alejandro Bedoya 21'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Bedoya 21'
  • yellowcard Bruno Damiani 49'
  • yellowcard Bruno Damiani 49'
  • goal Tai Baribo 59'
  • goal Tai Baribo 59'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 89'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 89'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Apr 20, 2025 12.30am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Subaru Park
Atlanta
  • Jakob Glesnes 19' yellowcard
  • Quinn Sullivan 27' goal
  • Jovan Lukic 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Danley Jean Jacques 50' goal
  • Jovan Lukic 56' redcard
  • Danley Jean Jacques 57' yellowcard
  • Tai Baribo 84' goal
  • yellowcard Pedro Amador 68'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Latte Lath 70'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Sep 29, 2024 12.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Subaru Park
Atlanta
  • 19' goal
  • Nathan Harriel 61' goal
  • Nathan Harriel 61' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 68' yellowcard
  • Mikael Uhre 68' yellowcard
  • Mikael Uhre 69' yellowcard
  • Nathan Harriel 69' yellowcard
  • Nathan Harriel 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brooks Lennon 52'
  • yellowcard Brooks Lennon 52'
  • goal Saba Lobzhanidze 72'
  • goal Saba Lobzhanidze 72'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Apr 14, 2024 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Philadelphia
  • Thiago Almada 25' yellowcard
  • Daniel Rios 55' goal
  • Caleb Wiley 63' goal
  • Tristan Muyumba 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julian Carranza 21'
  • yellowcard Daniel Gazdag 35'
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 35'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 73'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 75'
  • goal Kai Wagner 77'
  • yellowcard Jack McGlynn 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
3
2
HT : 6 0
FT Subaru Park
Atlanta
  • Jack Elliott 34' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 34' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 39' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 39' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 41' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 41' goal
  • Julian Carranza 45'+3' goal
  • Julian Carranza 45'+3' goal
  • Quinn Sullivan 66' yellowcard
  • Quinn Sullivan 66' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 75' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 75' yellowcard
  • Nathan Harriel 81' yellowcard
  • Nathan Harriel 81' yellowcard
  • goal Thiago Almada 56'
  • goal Thiago Almada 56'
  • yellowcard Jamal Thiare 75'
  • yellowcard Jamal Thiare 75'
  • goal Edwin Mosquera 77'
  • goal Edwin Mosquera 77'

Form Data

Philadelphia 1 - 0 Seattle
Philadelphia 3 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Inter Miami 6 - 4 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 1 - 1 Columbus Crew
Orlando City 3 - 2 Philadelphia
New England 2 - 1 Philadelphia
New England 4 - 1 Atlanta
Charlotte FC 2 - 2 Atlanta
Nashville 1 - 0 Atlanta
Columbus Crew 2 - 0 Atlanta
Orlando City 4 - 1 Atlanta
Orlando City 1 - 1 Atlanta