Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2026 1.10am
GEODIS Park

Nashville SC vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 24, 2026 1.30am
Nashville 2 - 1 NY City
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 24, 2026 10.00pm
Columbus Crew 2 - 0 Atlanta
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nashville SC win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw has a probability of 23.53% and a win for Atlanta United has a probability of 17.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.03%) , while for a Atlanta United win it is 0-1 (5.4%).

Result

Nashville SC 58.58% (+0.02)
Draw 23.53%
Atlanta United 17.85% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.03% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.86% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 26.14% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 50.86% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 49.14% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 28.83% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 71.17% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 17.65% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.35% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Nashville SC 41.89% (-0.04)
Draw 38.78% (+0.01)
Atlanta United 19.32% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Nashville SC 60.03% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.84% (-0.04)
Atlanta United 32.13% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 61.07% (-0.25)
Equal 8 11.46% (+0.02)
Under 8 27.47% (+0.25)
Over 9 49.07% (-0.23)
Equal 9 12% (-0.02)
Under 9 38.93% (+0.25)
Over 10.5 37.59% (-0.19)
Under 10.5 62.41% (+0.19)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 1.5 52.84% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 47.16% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 26.62% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 73.38% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 11.24% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 88.76% (-0.04)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 50.87% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 49.13% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 20.51% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 79.49% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 6.86% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 93.14% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.82% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.18% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Nashville SC 58.59%
Draw 23.53%
Atlanta United 17.86%
Nashville SC
1-0 @ 12.88% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 10.72% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.64% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.7% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.29% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (+0.02)
Other @ 10.97% (+0.05)
Total : 58.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.03% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.84% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.39% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.53%
Atlanta United
0-1 @ 5.4%
1-2 @ 4.64%
0-2 @ 2.23%
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.55% (-0.02)
Total : 17.86%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 19, 2026 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Pedro Amador 68' yellowcard
  • Fafà Picault 68' yellowcard
  • Saba Lobjanidze 74' yellowcard
  • Cayman Togashi 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Muyl 56'
  • goal Cristian Espinoza 61'
  • yellowcard Patrick Yazbek 66'
  • yellowcard Reed Baker-Whiting 84'
  • yellowcard Shak Mohammed 84'
  • goal Shakur Mohammed 90'+1'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Aug 31, 2025 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
May 3, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Miguel Almiron 20' goal
  • Mateusz Klich 43' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Slisz 78' yellowcard
  • Miguel Almiron 82' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel Lovitz 66'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Perez 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Sep 15, 2024 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Derrick Williams 55' yellowcard
  • Duncan Williams 56' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Muyl 5'
  • goal Alex Muyl 5'
  • yellowcard Sam Surridge 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Sam Surridge 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Derrick Williams 55'
  • yellowcard Duncan Williams 56'
  • goal Duncan Williams 76'
  • goal Duncan Williams 76'
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2024 6.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Duncan Williams 40' goal
  • Sam Surridge 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Josh Bauer 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brad Guzan 37'
  • yellowcard Stian Rode Gregersen 44'
  • goal Bartosz Slisz 56'
Major League Soccer
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Xande Silva 26' goal
  • Xande Silva 26' goal
  • Tristan Muyumba 34' yellowcard
  • Tristan Muyumba 34' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Pineda 35' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Pineda 35' yellowcard
  • Thiago Almada 46' goal
  • Thiago Almada 46' goal
  • Miles Robinson 57' goal
  • Miles Robinson 57' goal
  • Tyler Wolff 66' yellowcard
  • Tyler Wolff 66' yellowcard
  • Saba Lobzhanidze 87' goal
  • Saba Lobzhanidze 87' goal