Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026 12.30am
Sports Illustrated Stadium

Cruz Azul vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruz Azul

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 1.00am
Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Philadelphia

New York City FC

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 12.30am
NY City 2 - 0 Santos Laguna

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw has a probability of 22.61% and a win for New York City FC has a probability of 20.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.42%) , while for a New York City FC win it is 0-1 (6.05%).

Result

Cruz Azul 56.98% (-0.06)
Draw 22.61% (-0.17)
New York City FC 20.41% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.55% (+0.78)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.57% (+0.53)
Under 1.5 23.43% (-0.54)
Over 2.5 53.63% (+0.63)
Under 2.5 46.37% (-0.63)
Over 3.5 31.85% (+0.59)
Under 3.5 68.15% (-0.58)
Over 4.5 19.28% (+0.38)
Under 4.5 80.72% (-0.38)

First Half Winner

Cruz Azul 44.21% (+0.14)
Draw 37.58% (-0.07)
New York City FC 18.21% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Cruz Azul 62.5% (+0.29)
No Goal 6.21% (-0.25)
New York City FC 31.29% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 52.35% (+0.14)
Equal 8 11.3%
Under 8 36.35% (-0.13)
Over 9 41.31% (+0.14)
Equal 9 11.04%
Under 9 47.65% (-0.14)
Over 10.5 31.35% (+0.13)
Under 10.5 68.65% (-0.12)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 1.5 53.46% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 46.54% (-0.35)
Over 2.5 27.65% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 72.35% (-0.31)
Over 3.5 11.73% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 88.27% (-0.17)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 55.39% (+0.46)
Under 0.5 44.61% (-0.46)
Over 1.5 23.4% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 76.6% (-0.41)
Over 2.5 7.29% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 92.71% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 1.93% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 98.07% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Cruz Azul 56.99%
Draw 22.62%
New York City FC 20.4%
Cruz Azul
1-0 @ 11.18% (-0.24)
2-1 @ 9.64% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.6% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 5.99% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.88% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.06% (+0.07)
Other @ 11.64% (+0.17)
Total : 56.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.42% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.21% (-0.25)
2-2 @ 4.91% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 22.62%
New York City FC
0-1 @ 6.05% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 5.22% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 2.92% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.78% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.66% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.84% (+0.07)
Total : 20.4%