Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026 12.30am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Sports Illustrated Stadium
  • Agustín Palavecino 35' goal
  • Gonzalo Piovi 53' yellowcard
  • José Paradela 78' goal
  • yellowcard Matt Freese 36'
  • yellowcard Nico Cavallo 37'
  • goal Max Murray 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Tayvon Gray 50'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Fernández Mercau 82'
  • yellowcard Malachi Jones 90'+5'

Cruz Azul vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruz Azul

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 1.00am
Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Philadelphia

New York City FC

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 12.30am
NY City 2 - 0 Santos Laguna

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%) , while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Cruz Azul 54.76% ▼ (-2.22)
Draw 23.4% ▲ (+0.79)
New York City FC 21.83% ▲ (+1.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.83% ▲ (+0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.47% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 23.53% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 53.21% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 2.5 46.79% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 3.5 30.9% ▼ (-0.96)
Under 3.5 69.07% ▲ (+0.92)
Over 4.5 18.38% ▼ (-0.91)
Under 4.5 81.62% ▲ (+0.91)

First Half Winner

Cruz Azul 44.32% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 36.74% ▼ (-0.84)
New York City FC 18.94% ▲ (+0.74)

Team To Score First

Cruz Azul 61.48% ▼ (-1.03)
No Goal 6.3% ▲ (+0.09)
New York City FC 32.22% ▲ (+0.93)

Corners

Over 8 53.63% ▲ (+1.29)
Equal 8 11.46% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 8 34.91% ▼ (-1.45)
Over 9 42.32% ▲ (+1.01)
Equal 9 11.31% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 9 46.37% ▼ (-1.29)
Over 10.5 32.04% ▲ (+0.69)
Under 10.5 67.96% ▼ (-0.70)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 1.5 51.76% ▼ (-1.71)
Under 1.5 48.24% ▲ (+1.71)
Over 2.5 25.91% ▼ (-1.74)
Under 2.5 74.09% ▲ (+1.75)
Over 3.5 10.61% ▼ (-1.13)
Under 3.5 89.39% ▲ (+1.13)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 57.21% ▲ (+1.83)
Under 0.5 42.79% ▼ (-1.83)
Over 1.5 24.72% ▲ (+1.33)
Under 1.5 75.28% ▼ (-1.32)
Over 2.5 8.06% ▲ (+0.78)
Under 2.5 91.94% ▼ (-0.77)
Over 3.5 2.17% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 3.5 97.83% ▼ (-0.24)

Score analysis

Cruz Azul 54.76%
Draw 23.4%
New York City FC 21.84%
Cruz Azul
1-0 @ 10.97% ▼ (-0.21)
2-1 @ 9.76% ▲ (+0.12)
2-0 @ 9.31% ▼ (-0.29)
3-0 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.28)
3-1 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.29)
3-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 10.49% ▼ (-1.16)
Total : 54.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.87% ▲ (+0.45)
0-0 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.12% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 23.4%
New York City FC
0-1 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.21)
1-2 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.42)
0-2 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.21)
Total : 21.84%