Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-0 (8.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.