Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 54.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 20.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%) , while for a Atlas win it was 1-0 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.