Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 67.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.34% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 12.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%) , while for a Atlas win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.