Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-2 (7.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.