Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.