Club Friendlies 3
Morelia vs Cruz Azul - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Morelia had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Morelia win was 1-0 (8.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result
Morelia
31.83%
▲
(+0.13)
Draw
28.09%
▲
(+0.18)
Cruz Azul
40.08%
▼
(-0.32)
Both Teams to Score:
53.73%
▼
(-0.29)
Goals
Over 1.5
72.92%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 1.5
27.08%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 2.5
47.98%
▼
(-0.70)
Under 2.5
51.97%
▲
(+0.65)
Over 3.5
25.15%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 3.5
74.85%
▲
(+0.38)
Over 4.5
12.95%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 4.5
87.05%
▲
(+0.24)
First Half Winner
Morelia
26.1%
▲
(+0.13)
Draw
44.32%
▲
(+0.05)
Cruz Azul
29.58%
▼
(-0.18)
Team To Score First
Morelia
41.08%
▼
(-0.22)
No Goal
8.04%
▲
(+0.17)
Cruz Azul
50.88%
▲
(+0.04)
Corners
Over 8
57.44%
▲
(+0.08)
Equal 8
11.16%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 8
31.41%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 9
46.11%
▲
(+0.11)
Equal 9
11.33%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 9
42.56%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 10.5
35.52%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 10.5
64.48%
▼
(-0.13)
Morelia Goals
Over 1.5
32.36%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 1.5
67.64%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 2.5
10.8%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 2.5
89.2%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 3.5
3.06%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
96.94%
▲
(+0.07)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5
72.53%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 0.5
27.47%
▲
(+0.38)
Over 1.5
38.41%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 1.5
61.59%
▲
(+0.53)
Over 2.5
15.63%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 2.5
84.37%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 3.5
4.8%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 3.5
95.2%
▲
(+0.14)
Score analysis
Morelia
31.85%
Draw
28.08%
Cruz Azul
40.08%
Morelia
1-0
@
8.93%
▲
(+0.19)
2-1 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 31.85%
2-1 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 31.85%
Draw
1-1
@
13.14%
▲
(+0.14)
0-0 @ 8.04% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.16% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 28.08%
0-0 @ 8.04% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.16% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 28.08%
Cruz Azul
0-1
@
10.12%
▲
(+0.09)
1-2 @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 40.08%
1-2 @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 40.08%
Head to Head
Liga MX
Gameweek
14
-
Jonathan Rodriguez
42'
-
Roberto Alvarado
58'
-
Jonathan Rodriguez
76'
-
Guillermo Fernandez
80'
-
Pablo Aguilar
96'
-
Sebastian Ferreira
16'
-
Joaquin Martinez
30'
-
Rodrigo Millar
45'
-
Sebastian Ferreira
55'
-
Gabriel Achilier
56'
-
Efrain Velarde
64'
-
Sebastian Ferreira
81'