Leagues Cup
Aug 14, 2026 12.30am
Sports Illustrated Stadium

New York City FC vs Necaxa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 10, 2026 12.30am
Cruz Azul 2 - 1 NY City

Necaxa

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 10, 2026 12.30am
Philadelphia 3 - 1 Necaxa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.36%. A draw has a probability of 22.82% and a win for Necaxa has a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.24%) , while for a Necaxa win it is 1-2 (5.55%).

Result

New York City FC 55.36% (-0.80)
Draw 22.82% (+0.15)
Necaxa 21.85% (+0.68)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.45% (+0.74)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.91% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 21.09% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 56.87% (+0.28)
Under 2.5 43.13% (-0.28)
Over 3.5 34.7% (+0.48)
Under 3.5 65.3% (-0.47)
Over 4.5 21.66% (+0.33)
Under 4.5 78.34% (-0.32)

First Half Winner

New York City FC 41.3% (-2.09)
Draw 38.08% (+0.58)
Necaxa 20.62% (+1.50)

Team To Score First

New York City FC 59.23% (-1.58)
No Goal 5.82% (-0.05)
Necaxa 34.95% (+1.61)

Corners

Over 8 58.43% (-3.61)
Equal 8 10.94% (-0.29)
Under 8 30.64% (+3.88)
Over 9 47.23% (-2.97)
Equal 9 11.2% (-0.65)
Under 9 41.57% (+3.61)
Over 10.5 36.67% (-2.11)
Under 10.5 63.33% (+2.11)

New York City FC Goals

Over 1.5 54.28% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 45.72% (+0.36)
Over 2.5 28.57% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 71.43% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 12.88% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 87.12% (-0.07)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5 57.34% (+0.68)
Under 0.5 42.66% (-0.68)
Over 1.5 26.19% (+0.80)
Under 1.5 73.81% (-0.79)
Over 2.5 9.25% (+0.45)
Under 2.5 90.75% (-0.46)
Over 3.5 2.88% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 97.12% (-0.21)

Score analysis

New York City FC 55.35%
Draw 22.83%
Necaxa 21.86%
New York City FC
1-0 @ 9.8% (-0.20)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 8.77% (-0.22)
3-0 @ 5.74% (-0.21)
3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 3.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 12.57% (+0.05)
Total : 55.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.24%
0-0 @ 5.82% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.28% (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.18% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.31% (+0.03)
Total : 22.83%
Necaxa
1-2 @ 5.55% (+0.07)
0-1 @ 5.51% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 3.04% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 2.06% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 1.96% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.17% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.57% (+0.18)
Total : 21.86%