Major League Soccer

Jul 12, 2020 at 4.20am UK

ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex Field 17

Cincinnati
0 - 4
Columbus Crew

Amaya (44'), Alashe (82')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Zelarayan (27'), Zardes (30', 49'), Mokhtar (60')
Mensah (87')

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Columbus Crew.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 48%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Columbus Crew
28.09%	23.91%	48%

Both teams to score 58.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.28%

43.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.89%

66.11%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.15%

28.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.28%

64.71%

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.64%

18.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.52%

49.48%

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 28.09%

Columbus Crew 48%

Draw 23.91%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Columbus Crew
2-1 @ 6.94% 1-0 @ 6.58% 2-0 @ 4.09% 3-1 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 1.7% Other @ 3.47% Total : 28.09%	1-1 @ 11.16% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.91%	1-2 @ 9.46% 0-1 @ 8.98% 0-2 @ 7.61% 1-3 @ 5.34% 0-3 @ 4.3% 2-3 @ 3.32% 1-4 @ 2.27% 0-4 @ 1.82% 2-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.49% Total : 48%