/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmexlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcanlog.png)
-
Julian Araujo
18'
-
Julian Araujo
18'
-
Cesar Huerta
26'
-
Cesar Huerta
26'
-
Alan Mozo
69'
-
Alan Mozo
69'
-
Mathieu Choiniere
57'
-
Mathieu Choiniere
57'
-
Richie Laryea
65'
-
Richie Laryea
65'
-
Niko Sigur
88'
-
Niko Sigur
88'
Mexico vs Canada - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Fsantiago-gimenez.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 53%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Canada had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Mexico
53%
▲
(+0.22)
Draw
25.33%
▲
(+0.12)
Canada
21.67%
▼
(-0.34)
Both Teams to Score:
47.17%
▼
(-0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.02%
▼
(-0.77)
Under 2.5
54.97%
▲
(+0.77)
Over 3.5
23.75%
▼
(-0.64)
Under 3.5
76.25%
▲
(+0.64)
Over 4.5
10.57%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 4.5
89.42%
▲
(+0.40)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5
79.24%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 0.5
20.76%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 1.5
46.61%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 1.5
53.39%
▲
(+0.35)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5
59.53%
▼
(-0.78)
Under 0.5
40.47%
▲
(+0.78)
Over 1.5
22.92%
▼
(-0.71)
Under 1.5
77.08%
▲
(+0.71)
Score analysis
Mexico
52.99%
Draw
25.32%
Canada
21.67%
Mexico
1-0
@
13.2%
▲
(+0.30)
2-0 @ 10.38% ▲ (+0.17)
2-1 @ 9.39% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 52.99%
2-0 @ 10.38% ▲ (+0.17)
2-1 @ 9.39% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 52.99%
Draw
1-1
@
11.94%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.4% ▲ (+0.25)
2-2 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 25.32%
0-0 @ 8.4% ▲ (+0.25)
2-2 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 25.32%
Canada
0-1
@
7.6%
▲
(+0.07)
1-2 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 21.67%
1-2 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 21.67%
