Club Friendlies 1
Aug 15, 2026 3.45pm
2
4
HT : 1 1
FT Tarczyński Arena
  • Harry Maguire 2' goal
  • Patrick Dorgu 48' yellowcard
  • Patrick Dorgu 51' goal
  • yellowcard Pervis Estupiñán 11'
  • goal Samuel Chukwueze 37'
  • goal Alphadjo Cissè 57'
  • goal Gonçalo Ramos 68'
  • goal Ruben Loftus-Cheek 71'

Manchester United vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Aug 12, 2026 7.30pm
Man Utd 1 - 1 Leeds

AC Milan

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 1.00pm
Chelsea 3 - 0 AC Milan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (7.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%).

Result

Manchester United 43.28%
Draw 26.33%
AC Milan 30.39%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.61% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.84%
Under 1.5 22.16%
Over 2.5 54.59% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 45.41% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 32.36% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 67.64% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 18.54% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 81.46% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Manchester United 33.18% (-0.01)
Draw 42.44% (+0.01)
AC Milan 24.38%

Team To Score First

Manchester United 50.05% (-0.03)
No Goal 6.24% (+0.01)
AC Milan 43.71% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 58.24%
Equal 8 11.87%
Under 8 29.89%
Over 9 46.09%
Equal 9 12.14%
Under 9 41.76%
Over 10.5 34.76%
Under 10.5 65.24%

Manchester United Goals

Over 1.5 44.88% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 55.12% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 20.54% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 79.46% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.54% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.46% (+0.01)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 67.73%
Under 0.5 32.27%
Over 1.5 34.28%
Under 1.5 65.72%
Over 2.5 13.18%
Under 2.5 86.82%
Over 3.5 4.32%
Under 3.5 95.68%

Score analysis

Manchester United 43.28%
Draw 26.32%
AC Milan 30.4%
Manchester United
2-1 @ 9.23% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 6.64%
3-1 @ 4.85% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.5% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.18% (-0.02)
Total : 43.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.24% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 26.32%
AC Milan
1-2 @ 7.4% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 7.21%
0-2 @ 4.45%
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.1% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 30.4%

Head to Head

Europa League
Mar 18, 2021 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Pierre Kalulu 65' yellowcard
  • Diogo Dalot 77' yellowcard
  • Simon Kjaer 85' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Paul Pogba 49'
  • yellowcard Luke Shaw 90'+3'
Europa League
Mar 11, 2021 5.55pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Amad Diallo 50' goal
  • Scott McTominay 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexis Saelemaekers 19'
  • goal Simon Kjaer 90'+2'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Aug 3, 2019 5.36pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Marcus Rashford 14' goal
  • Jesse Lingard 72' goal
  • Fred 73' yellowcard
  • goal Suso 26'
  • goal Victor Lindelof 60' (OG)
  • yellowcard Hakan Calhanoglu 90'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 26, 2018 4.05am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Alexis Sanchez 12' goal
  • Ander Herrera 91' yellowcard
  • goal Suso 15'

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