/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmallog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fleslog.png)
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Tumelo Makha
65'
-
Lehlohonolo Fothoane
74'
-
80'
-
80'
-
83'
Malawi vs Lesotho - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F46%2Fmalawi.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Malawi win with a probability of 53.63%. A draw has a probability of 27.7% and a win for Lesotho has a probability of 18.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win is 1-0 with a probability of 17.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (12.43%), while for a Lesotho win it is 0-1 (8.64%).
Result
Malawi
53.63%
▼
(-0.88)
Draw
27.68%
▲
(+0.43)
Lesotho
18.69%
▲
(+0.46)
Both Teams to Score:
37.62%
▼
(-0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5
34.62%
▼
(-0.77)
Under 2.5
65.37%
▲
(+0.77)
Over 3.5
15.85%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 3.5
84.15%
▲
(+0.54)
Over 4.5
6.06%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 4.5
93.94%
▲
(+0.29)
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5
75.08%
▼
(-0.75)
Under 0.5
24.92%
▲
(+0.74)
Over 1.5
40.46%
▼
(-1.04)
Under 1.5
59.54%
▲
(+1.04)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5
50.1%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 0.5
49.9%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 1.5
15.41%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
84.58%
▼
(-0.07)
Score analysis
Malawi
53.62%
Draw
27.67%
Lesotho
18.69%
Malawi
1-0
@
17.27%
▲
(+0.11)
2-0 @ 12% ▼ (-0.18)
2-1 @ 8.35% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.21)
3-1 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.14)
4-0 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 53.62%
2-0 @ 12% ▼ (-0.18)
2-1 @ 8.35% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.21)
3-1 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.14)
4-0 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 53.62%
Draw
0-0
@
12.43%
▲
(+0.35)
1-1 @ 12.01% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 27.67%
1-1 @ 12.01% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 27.67%
Lesotho
0-1
@
8.64%
▲
(+0.27)
1-2 @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 3% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 18.69%
1-2 @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 3% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 18.69%
Motlomelo Mkwanazi
45'