Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32

Apr 10, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
3 - 3
Marseille

Delort (1'), Laborde (47', 90+2')
Mollet (8'), Ferri (76')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Milik (43'), Gueye (45+1'), Perrin (71')
Thauvin (40'), Gonzalez (54')
Caleta-Car (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Marseille
39.56%	26.73%	33.7%

Both teams to score 51.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.47%

53.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.96%

75.04%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.51%

26.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.33%

61.67%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.02%

29.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.91%

66.09%

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 39.56%

Marseille 33.7%

Draw 26.73%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-0 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.56%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.73%	0-1 @ 9.56% 1-2 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 5.76% 1-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.7%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Marseille

Montpellier HSC

30.2%

Draw

36.5%

Marseille

33.3%