Liga MX Gameweek 1
Jul 19, 2026 2.07am
Guadalajara Stadium

CD Guadalajara vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 2.07am
Guadalajara 1 - 2 Cruz Azul

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2026 12.00am
Pachuca 2 - 0 Toluca

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Toluca has a probability of 29.03% and a draw has a probability of 24.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Toluca win is 1-2 (7.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.43%).

Result

CD Guadalajara 46.12% (-0.03)
Draw 24.78%
Toluca 29.03% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.49% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 77% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 23% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 54.4% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 45.6% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 31.3% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 68.7% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 18.25% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 81.75% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

CD Guadalajara 35.57% (-0.03)
Draw 43.35% (+0.01)
Toluca 21.08% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

CD Guadalajara 57.62% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.48% (+0.02)
Toluca 35.9%

Corners

Over 8 57.74%
Equal 8 11.23%
Under 8 31.03%
Over 9 46.3%
Equal 9 11.44%
Under 9 42.26%
Over 10.5 35.59%
Under 10.5 64.41%

CD Guadalajara Goals

Over 1.5 45.82% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 54.18% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 21.1% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 78.9% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.77% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 92.23% (+0.04)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 65.16% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 34.84% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 32.27% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 67.73% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 12.35% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.65% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 3.81% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.19% (+0.01)

Score analysis

CD Guadalajara 46.12%
Draw 24.79%
Toluca 29.04%
CD Guadalajara
2-1 @ 9.78% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.59% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.12%
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.05% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.55% (-0.04)
Total : 46.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.43%
0-0 @ 6.48% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.79%
Toluca
1-2 @ 7.24% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.88% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.04%
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.59% (-0.02)
Total : 29.04%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 8
Feb 28, 2026 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Jesús Gallardo 5' yellowcard
  • Jorge Díaz 16' goal
  • Everardo del Villar 46' yellowcard
  • Helinho 71' yellowcard
  • Pável Pérez 75' yellowcard
  • Luan 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Fernando Arce 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brian Gutiérrez 40'
  • yellowcard Hugo Camberos 46'
  • yellowcard Ángel Sepúlveda 46'
  • yellowcard Santiago Sandoval 46'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Marín 60'
Liga MX
Sep 21, 2025 2.07am
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX Gameweek 7
Feb 16, 2025 3.10am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Alexis Vega 34' goal
  • Alexis Vega 34' goal
  • Hugo Camberos Figueroa 90'+1' goal
  • Hugo Camberos Figueroa 90'+1' goal
  • Luan Garcia 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Luan Garcia 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal 20'
  • goal Hugo Camberos Figueroa 70'
  • goal Hugo Camberos Figueroa 70'
Liga MX Gameweek 1
Jul 7, 2024 2.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio AKRON
  • Fernando Beltran 42' yellowcard
  • Fernando Beltran 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 63'
  • yellowcard Federico Pereira 64'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 64'
  • yellowcard Federico Pereira 64'
Liga MX
May 12, 2024 3.10am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Marcel Ruiz 45' yellowcard
  • Marcel Ruiz 45' yellowcard
  • Brian Garcia 58' redcard
  • Brian Garcia 59' redcard
  • Alexis Vega 80' goal
  • Alexis Vega 81' yellowcard
  • Jean Meneses 82' yellowcard
  • Jean Meneses 82' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Rangel 36'
  • yellowcard Jose Rangel 36'
  • yellowcard Alan Mozo 45'
  • yellowcard Alan Mozo 45'
  • yellowcard Jose Castillo 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Jose Castillo 90'+5'
Liga MX
May 9, 2024 2.05am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio AKRON
  • Pavel Perez 70' goal
  • Victor Alfonso Guzman Guzman 87' goal
  • Victor Alfonso Guzman Guzman 87' goal
  • Erick Gutierrez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Erick Gutierrez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brian Garcia 83'
  • yellowcard Brian Garcia 83'