Jul 19, 2026 2.07am

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT Guadalajara Stadium

Ángel Sepúlveda 50'
Roberto Alvarado 54'
Jordán Carrillo 90'+6'

Franco Romero 19'
Alexis Vega 42'
Jesús Gallardo 61'
Jesús Gallardo 74'

CD Guadalajara vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Guadalajara vs Toluca - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Guadalajara vs Toluca - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 16 Jul 2026 19:22

Form, Standings, Stats

CD Guadalajara

All competitions

D
D
L
D
W
L

Liga MX

L
D
W
L
D
D

Last game

May 17, 2026 2.07am

Guadalajara 1 - 2 Cruz Azul

Toluca

All competitions

D
L
D
L
W
L

Liga MX

L
L
W
L
L
D

Last game

May 11, 2026 12.00am

Pachuca 2 - 0 Toluca

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result

CD Guadalajara 42.36% ▼ (-3.74)

Draw 24.43% ▼ (-0.42)

Toluca 33.19% ▲ (+4.16)

Both Teams to Score:

57.1% ▲ (+1.72)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.23% ▲ (+1.33)

Under 1.5 21.77% ▼ (-1.34)

Over 2.5 55.94% ▲ (+1.68)

Under 2.5 44.06% ▼ (-1.68)

Over 3.5 33.08% ▲ (+1.87)

Under 3.5 66.92% ▼ (-1.88)

Over 4.5 19.51% ▲ (+1.34)

Under 4.5 80.49% ▼ (-1.33)

First Half Winner

CD Guadalajara 35.58% ▲ (+0.01)

Draw 43.34% ▼ (-0.01)

Toluca 21.08%

Team To Score First

CD Guadalajara 57.98% ▲ (+0.40)

No Goal 5.96% ▼ (-0.56)

Toluca 36.06% ▲ (+0.17)

Corners

Over 8 45.54% ▼ (-12.17)

Equal 8 10.96% ▼ (-0.28)

Under 8 43.5% ▲ (+12.45)

Over 9 35.34% ▼ (-10.93)

Equal 9 10.2% ▼ (-1.25)

Under 9 54.46% ▲ (+12.17)

Over 10.5 26.56% ▼ (-9.01)

Under 10.5 73.44% ▲ (+9.00)

CD Guadalajara Goals

Over 1.5 43.64% ▼ (-2.08)

Under 1.5 56.36% ▲ (+2.08)

Over 2.5 19.66% ▼ (-1.38)

Under 2.5 80.34% ▲ (+1.38)

Over 3.5 7.14% ▼ (-0.61)

Under 3.5 92.86% ▲ (+0.60)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 68.44% ▲ (+3.32)

Under 0.5 31.56% ▼ (-3.33)

Over 1.5 36.57% ▲ (+4.37)

Under 1.5 63.43% ▼ (-4.37)

Over 2.5 15.37% ▲ (+3.06)

Under 2.5 84.63% ▼ (-3.07)

Over 3.5 5.33% ▲ (+1.54)

Under 3.5 94.67% ▼ (-1.54)

Score analysis

CD Guadalajara 42.36%

Draw 24.43%

Toluca 33.18%

CD Guadalajara

2-1 @ 9.16% ▼ (-0.60)

1-0 @ 8.73% ▼ (-0.91)

2-0 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.71)

3-1 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.34)

3-0 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.52)

3-2 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.06)

Other @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.62)

Total : 42.36%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.2% ▼ (-0.27)

0-0 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.56)

2-2 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.26)

3-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.14)

Other @ 0.24% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 24.43%

Toluca

1-2 @ 7.7% ▲ (+0.49)

0-1 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.14)

0-2 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.63)

1-3 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.63)

2-3 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.35)

0-3 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.45)

Other @ 5.09% ▲ (+1.51)

Total : 33.18%

Head to Head

Feb 28, 2026 11.00pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Nemesio Díez

Jesús Gallardo 5'
Jorge Díaz 16'
Everardo del Villar 46'
Helinho 71'
Pável Pérez 75'
Luan 90'+3'
Fernando Arce 90'+4'

Brian Gutiérrez 40'
Hugo Camberos 46'
Ángel Sepúlveda 46'
Santiago Sandoval 46'
46'
Ricardo Marín 60'

Sep 21, 2025 2.07am

0

3

HT : 0 0

FT

Feb 16, 2025 3.10am

2

1

HT : 2 1

FT Estadio Nemesio Diez

Alexis Vega 34'
Alexis Vega 34'
Hugo Camberos Figueroa 90'+1'
Hugo Camberos Figueroa 90'+1'
Luan Garcia 90'+2'
Luan Garcia 90'+2'

20'
Hugo Camberos Figueroa 70'
Hugo Camberos Figueroa 70'

Jul 7, 2024 2.00am

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio AKRON

Fernando Beltran 42'
Fernando Beltran 45'

Claudio Baeza 63'
Federico Pereira 64'
Claudio Baeza 64'
Federico Pereira 64'

May 12, 2024 3.10am

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Nemesio Diez

Marcel Ruiz 45'
Marcel Ruiz 45'
Brian Garcia 58'
Brian Garcia 59'
Alexis Vega 80'
Alexis Vega 81'
Jean Meneses 82'
Jean Meneses 82'
Alexis Vega 83'

Jose Rangel 36'
Jose Rangel 36'
Alan Mozo 45'
Alan Mozo 45'
Jose Castillo 90'+5'
Jose Castillo 90'+5'

May 9, 2024 2.05am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio AKRON

Pavel Perez 70'
Victor Alfonso Guzman Guzman 87'
Victor Alfonso Guzman Guzman 87'
Erick Gutierrez 90'+6'
Erick Gutierrez 90'+6'

Brian Garcia 83'
Brian Garcia 83'

Form Data

Guadalajara 0 - 0 Universidad Guadalajara

Correcaminos UAT 0 - 0 Guadalajara

Guadalajara 1 - 2 Cruz Azul

Cruz Azul 2 - 2 Guadalajara

Guadalajara 2 - 0 Tigres

Tigres 3 - 1 Guadalajara

Toluca 0 - 0 Atlante

Cancún 1 - 0 Toluca

Toluca 1 - 1 Tigres

Pachuca 2 - 0 Toluca

Toluca 4 - 0 Los Angeles

Toluca 0 - 1 Pachuca