Primeira Liga Gameweek 15
Dec 23, 2024 6.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Tiago Silva 24' goal
  • Nuno Santos 49' goal
  • Tomas Handel 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Isaac Aguiar Tomich 9'
  • yellowcard Ze Vitor 18'
  • goal Joao Aurelio 90'+3'

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Dec 16, 2024 8.45pm
Rio Ave 2 - 2 Guimaraes
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Gustavo

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
Dec 19, 2024 5.00pm
Nacional 0 - 2 Benfica
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Daniel Penha

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 67.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 11.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.59%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result

Vitoria de Guimaraes 67.94% (-0.15)
Draw 20.09% (+0.27)
Nacional 11.97% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.93% (-1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.98% (-1.35)
Under 2.5 50.02% (+1.34)
Over 3.5 28% (-1.22)
Under 3.5 72% (+1.21)
Over 4.5 13.31% (-0.82)
Under 4.5 86.68% (+0.82)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5 86.26% (-0.47)
Under 0.5 13.74% (+0.46)
Over 1.5 58.98% (-0.92)
Under 1.5 41.01% (+0.92)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 49.76% (-1.05)
Under 0.5 50.23% (+1.04)
Over 1.5 15.18% (-0.74)
Under 1.5 84.82% (+0.73)

Score analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 67.93%
Draw 20.09%
Nacional 11.97%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 13.7% (+0.51)
2-0 @ 13.59% (+0.28)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 9% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.19% (-0.17)
4-0 @ 4.46% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.13)
5-0 @ 1.77% (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 67.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.43% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 6.9% (+0.37)
2-2 @ 3.22% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.09%
Nacional
0-1 @ 4.75% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 3.25% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 1.64% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 11.97%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 29
Apr 26, 2021 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pedro Mendes 7' goal
  • Jorge Fernandes 15' yellowcard
  • Bryan Rochez 44' yellowcard
  • Larry Azouni 51' yellowcard
  • Silvio 59' yellowcard
  • Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan 81' yellowcard
  • Eber Bessa 84' yellowcard
  • Rochinha 84' yellowcard
Primeira Liga Gameweek 12
Jan 21, 2021 8.15pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ricardo Quaresma 22' goal
  • Gideon Mensah 33' yellowcard
  • Jorge Fernandes 41' yellowcard
  • Oscar Estupinan 51' goal
  • Lucas Kal 61' goal
  • Andre Andre 67' yellowcard
  • goal Kenji Gorre 16'
  • yellowcard Larry Azouni 19'
  • yellowcard Kenji Gorre 58'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
May 5, 2019 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques (Guimarães)
  • Alhassan Wakaso 4' yellowcard
  • Toze 11' goal
  • Alhassan Wakaso 24' redcard
  • Davidson 45' yellowcard
  • Florent Hanin 78' goal
  • Florent Hanin 87' yellowcard
  • Dodo 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giorgi Arabidze 12'
  • yellowcard Nuno Campos 60'
  • yellowcard Abdullahi Alhassan 64'
  • yellowcard Joao Camacho 65'
  • yellowcard Vitor Goncalves 69'
  • goal Diogo Coelho 82'
  • goal Abdullahi Alhassan 92'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 15
Jan 2, 2019 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira))
  • Joao Camacho 9' goal
  • Bryan Rochez 22' yellowcard
  • Okacha Hamzaoui 66' yellowcard
  • Lucas Franca 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Davidson 12'
  • yellowcard Ola John 27'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Celis 46'
  • yellowcard Yordan Osorio 53'
Primeira Liga
Mar 31, 2017 9.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Sequeira 52' yellowcard
  • Cesar 56' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Sayed 91' goal
  • Adriano Facchini 94' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Sayed 95' yellowcard
  • Rui Correia 95' redcard
  • goal Rafael Miranda 25'
  • yellowcard Ruben Ferreira 79'
  • goal David Texeira 86'
Primeira Liga
Nov 4, 2016 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Moussa Marega 25' redcard
  • Paolo Hurtado 58' yellowcard
  • Rafinha 59' yellowcard
  • Bernard Mensah 65' yellowcard
  • Francisco Soares 75' goal
  • Francisco Soares 90' goal
  • goal Okacha Hamzaoui 49'
  • yellowcard Ali Ghazal 50'
  • yellowcard Victor Garcia 63'
  • yellowcard Nelson Bonilla 73'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Gomes 76'
  • yellowcard Washington 88'
  • yellowcard Rui Correia 90'