Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Sportivo Ameliano and Athletico Paranaense.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Sportivo Ameliano had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.02%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Sportivo Ameliano win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
Result |
Sportivo Ameliano | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
16.64% ( 1.25) | 23.17% ( 0.19) | 60.2% ( -1.43) |
Both teams to score 45.33% ( 1.98) |
46.84% ( 1.26) | 53.16% ( -1.25) |
25.27% ( 1.06) | 74.73% ( -1.06) |
54.83% ( 2.43) | 45.17% ( -2.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.93% ( 1.87) | 81.07% ( -1.87) |
Athletico Paranaense Goals |
82.68% ( -0.06) | 17.32% ( 0.06) |