Serie A Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Artem Dovbyk 62' goal
  • yellowcard Nicolas Viola 26'
  • yellowcard Adam Obert 40'

Roma vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2025 5.00pm
Empoli 0 - 1 Roma
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Artem Dovbyk

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2025 7.45pm
Cagliari 1 - 1 Genoa
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Roberto Piccoli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 70.47%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 10.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.9%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result

Roma 70.47% (-0.51)
Draw 18.7% (+0.24)
Cagliari 10.84% (+0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.56% (+0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.93% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 47.07% (+0.31)
Over 3.5 30.69% (-0.29)
Under 3.5 69.32% (+0.29)
Over 4.5 15.15% (-0.20)
Under 4.5 84.85% (+0.21)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 87.88% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 12.13% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 62.3% (-0.49)
Under 1.5 37.71% (+0.49)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 49.58% (+0.32)
Under 0.5 50.43% (-0.32)
Over 1.5 15.05% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 84.95% (-0.22)

Score analysis

Roma 70.46%
Draw 18.7%
Cagliari 10.84%
Roma
2-0 @ 13.6% (-0.08)
1-0 @ 12.9% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 9.57% (-0.14)
2-1 @ 9.32% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.55% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 5.05% (-0.12)
4-1 @ 3.46% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.24% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.13% (-0.07)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 70.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.83% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 6.11% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 3.19% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 18.7%
Cagliari
0-1 @ 4.19% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 3.02% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 1.43% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 10.84%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 1
Aug 18, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Alessandro Deiola 84' yellowcard
  • Paulo Azzi 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal 82'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2024 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 2' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 23' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 51' goal
  • Dean Huijsen 59' goal
  • Leandro Paredes 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nahitan Nandez 65'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 5.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Ibrahim Sulemana 14' yellowcard
  • Adam Obert 61' yellowcard
  • Nahitan Nandez 87' goal
  • Jose Mourinho 44'+44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 11'
  • goal Houssem Aouar 19'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 20'
  • yellowcard Houssem Aouar 32'
  • yellowcard Jose Mourinho 44'
  • yellowcard Edoardo Bove 45'+2'
  • goal Andrea Belotti 51'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 59'
Serie A Gameweek 22
Jan 16, 2022 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jan Oliveras 23' yellowcard
  • Jan Oliveras 33' goal
  • Gianluca Mancini 39' yellowcard
  • Felix Afena-Gyan 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pavoletti 25'
  • yellowcard Andrea Carboni 27'
  • yellowcard Dalbert Henrique 32'
  • yellowcard Giorgio Altare 70'
Serie A Gameweek 10
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Leonardo Pavoletti 52' goal
  • Joao Pedro 73' yellowcard
  • Charalampos Lykogiannis 77' yellowcard
  • Raoul Bellanova 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 38'
  • goal Ibanez 71'
  • goal Lorenzo Pellegrini 78'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Pellegrini 79'
  • yellowcard Tammy Abraham 80'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Calafiori 83'
Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 25, 2021 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Charalampos Lykogiannis 4' goal
  • Razvan Marin 53' yellowcard
  • Razvan Marin 57' goal
  • Joao Pedro 64' goal
  • Joao Pedro 80' yellowcard
  • Alfred Duncan 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Carles Perez 27'
  • goal Federico Fazio 69'
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 83'