Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 70.47%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 10.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.9%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.