/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fpsvlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
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Luuk de Jong
68'
-
Luuk de Jong
85'
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David Moller Wolfe
27'
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Mayckel Lahdo
41'
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Mexx Meerdink
74'
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Jordy Clasie
76'
-
77'
PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F44%2Fluuk-de-jong.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 12.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 3-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for an AZ Alkmaar win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result
PSV Eindhoven
70.75%
▼
(-0.22)
Draw
16.6%
▲
(+0.11)
AZ Alkmaar
12.65%
▲
(+0.12)
Both Teams to Score:
57.35%
▼
(-0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
67.77%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 2.5
32.23%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 3.5
46.17%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 3.5
53.83%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 4.5
27.31%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 4.5
72.69%
▲
(+0.23)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5
91.9%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
8.09%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
71.56%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 1.5
28.44%
▲
(+0.26)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
62.4%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
37.59%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
25.63%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
74.37%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
PSV Eindhoven
70.75%
Draw
16.6%
AZ Alkmaar
12.65%
PSV Eindhoven
2-0
@
9.62%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.41% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 8.06% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.88% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.02)
5-2 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 70.75%
2-1 @ 9.41% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 8.06% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.88% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.02)
5-2 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 70.75%
Draw
1-1
@
7.48%
▲
(+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 16.6%
2-2 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 16.6%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2
@
3.66%
▲
(+0.04)
0-1 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 12.65%
0-1 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 12.65%
