/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flyolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fpsglog.png)
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Rayan Cherki
83'
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Thiago Almada
85'
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Corentin Tolisso
90'+2'
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Achraf Hakimi
36'
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Achraf Hakimi
53'
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Ousmane Dembele
59'
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Achraf Hakimi
85'
Lyon vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Lyon Goals
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 29.89%
2-2 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.29%
0-1 @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 46.81%