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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Feb 16, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini

Independiente Rivadavia
0 - 2
Instituto


Gil Romero (58'), Abecasis (67'), Bianchi (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Russo (24'), Barrientos (71')
Rodriguez (73'), Cerato (78')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente Rivadavia and Instituto.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Independiente Rivadavia
Thursday, February 8 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Instituto 2-2 Talleres
Monday, February 12 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 45.3%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 25.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Independiente RivadaviaDrawInstituto
45.3% (0.353 0.35) 29.33% (-0.102 -0.1) 25.37% (-0.253 -0.25)
Both teams to score 40.52% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.58% (0.169 0.17)65.42% (-0.17099999999999 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.81% (0.117 0.12)84.18% (-0.119 -0.12)
Independiente Rivadavia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.96% (0.273 0.27)29.04% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.05% (0.337 0.34)64.95% (-0.337 -0.34)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.11% (-0.134 -0.13)42.89% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.8% (-0.113 -0.11)79.2% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Independiente Rivadavia 45.3%
    Instituto 25.36%
    Draw 29.32%
Independiente RivadaviaDrawInstituto
1-0 @ 15.4% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.92% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.32% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.41% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 45.3%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 12.45% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.41% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 29.32%
0-1 @ 10.54% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 25.36%

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