Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.03%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.