Primeira Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Orkun Kokcu 19' goal
  • Orkun Kokcu 34' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Fernandez 36' yellowcard
  • Tiago Gouveia 59' yellowcard
  • Renato Sanches 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andre Luiz 36'
  • yellowcard Caio dos Santos Santana 72'
  • yellowcard Leo Cordeiro 87'

Benfica vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
Aug 17, 2024 8.30pm
Benfica 3 - 0 Casa Pia
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Vangelis Pavlidis

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Aug 19, 2024 8.15pm
Estrela Amadora 0 - 3 Famalicao
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Kikas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 79.92%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 7.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.93%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-2 (2.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result

Benfica 79.92% (+0.04)
Draw 12.77% (-0.02)
Estrela Amadora 7.31% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.31% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.7% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 30.29% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 48.45% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 51.55% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 29.33% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 70.67% (+0.02)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 94.12% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 5.88% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 77.46% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.53% (-0.01)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 53.46% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 46.54% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 17.86% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 82.14% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Benfica 79.91%
Draw 12.77%
Estrela Amadora 7.31%
Benfica
2-0 @ 10.98% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 10.37% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.94% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.75% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 7.35% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 5.62% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 4.17% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 3.19% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.15% (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.97% (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.51% (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.22% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 79.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.93% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.21% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.74% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 12.77%
Estrela Amadora
1-2 @ 2.27% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 2.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 7.31%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 29, 2024 6.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
  • Leo Jaba 28' goal
  • Regis N'do 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Regis N'do 71' redcard
  • yellowcard Angel di Maria 41'
  • goal Arthur Cabral 44'
  • goal Rafa Silva 45'+1'
  • goal Nicolas Otamendi 52'
  • goal Marcos Leonardo 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 19, 2023 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Joao Neves 37' yellowcard
  • Joao Mario 44' yellowcard
  • Arthur Cabral 50' yellowcard
  • Casper Tengstedt 79' goal
  • Rafa Silva 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Joneston Omorwa 11'
  • yellowcard Mansur 55'
  • yellowcard Hevertton Ciriaco Santos 90'+6'
Taca da Liga
Nov 20, 2022 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estádio José Gomes da Costa
  • Joao Silva 22' goal
  • Gustavo Rodrigues 90'+5' goal
  • goal Petar Musa 13'
  • goal Chiquinho 29'
  • goal Julian Draxler 90'