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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colchester United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 40.45% | 27.04% | 32.51% |
| Both teams to score 50.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.01% | 54.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.74% | 76.26% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% | 26.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.07% | 61.93% |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.5% | 31.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.11% | 67.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.1% 2-1 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 7.34% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.12% Total : 40.44% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.4% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 9.71% 1-2 @ 7.41% 0-2 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 2.89% Total : 32.51% |