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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 43.61% | 25.97% | 30.42% |
| Both teams to score 52.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.63% | 51.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.81% | 73.18% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.57% | 23.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.57% | 57.43% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.89% | 31.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.57% | 67.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 7.67% 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-0 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.99% Total : 43.61% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.29% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.51% 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-2 @ 4.97% 1-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.42% |