Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 60.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.83% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.43%) and 0-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%) , while for a Valencia win it was 2-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.