World Cup Qualifying - Africa
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-
Michael Olunga
62'
-
Amos Nondi
89'
-
Rooney Onyango
90'+2'
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
16'
-
Alex Moucketou-Moussounda
39'
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
52'
-
Mario Lemina
90'+3'
Kenya vs Gabon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 40.18%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 29.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.25%) and 1-2 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.43%), while for a Kenya win it was 1-0 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gabon would win this match.
Result
Kenya
29.27%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
30.55%
▼
(-0.03)
Gabon
40.18%
▲
(+0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
39.72%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
32.53%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
67.47%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
14.42%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
85.58%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
5.33%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
94.67%
▼
(-0.02)
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5
59.31%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
40.69%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
22.72%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
77.28%
▲
(+0.01)
Gabon Goals
Over 0.5
66.98%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
33.02%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
30.39%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
69.61%
▼
(-0.07)
Score analysis
Kenya
29.27%
Draw
30.54%
Gabon
40.17%
Kenya
1-0
@
12.08%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.8%
3-0 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 29.27%
2-1 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.8%
3-0 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 29.27%
Draw
0-0
@
13.43%
▼
(-0.04)
1-1 @ 13.38%
2-2 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 30.54%
1-1 @ 13.38%
2-2 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 30.54%
Gabon
0-1
@
14.88%
▼
(-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.25% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 40.17%
0-2 @ 8.25% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 40.17%