World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Mar 20, 2025 at 10.35am UK

Japan
2 - 0
Bahrain

Kamada (66'), Kubo (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Japan and Bahrain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions

Last Game: Indonesia 0-4 Japan
Friday, November 15 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Japan vs. Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Bahrain

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Oman 1-2 Bahrain
Saturday, January 4 at 4.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Next Game: Indonesia vs. Bahrain
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 78.64%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Bahrain had a probability of 7.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.06%) and 1-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for a Bahrain win it was 0-1 (2.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Japan	Draw	Bahrain
78.64% ( 1.37)	13.96% ( -0.84)	7.4% ( -0.53)

Both teams to score 45.52% (

0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.62% (

2.17)

36.37% (

-2.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.49% (

2.34)

58.51% (

-2.35)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.59% (

0.78)

7.41% (

-0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.3% (

2.01)

26.7% (

-2.02)

Bahrain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.16% (

0.2)

50.84% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.77% (

0.13)

85.23% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Japan 78.63%

Bahrain 7.4%

Draw 13.96%

Japan	Draw	Bahrain
2-0 @ 12.75% ( -0.34) 3-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.67) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.38) 4-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.28) 5-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.33) 5-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.1) 6-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.2) 6-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.14) Other @ 3.65% Total : 78.63%	1-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.41) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.64% Total : 13.96%	0-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.61% Total : 7.4%