World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2025 at 7pm UK

Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny

Ivory Coast
1 - 0
Gambia

Haller (15')
Gbamin (43')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Ivory Coast and Gambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Burundi 0-1 Ivory Coast
Friday, March 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Gambia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Gambia 3-3 Kenya
Thursday, March 20 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 70.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 10.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.11%) and 3-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Gambia win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result
Ivory Coast	Draw	Gambia
70.97% ( -0.31)	18.92% ( 0.18)	10.12% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 40.44% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.11% (

-0.4)

49.89% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.12% (

-0.36)

71.88% (

0.36)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.19% (

-0.21)

12.81% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.87% (

-0.44)

39.13% (

0.43)

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.39% (

0.01)

53.62% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.96% (

87.04% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Ivory Coast 70.97%

Gambia 10.12%

Draw 18.92%

Ivory Coast	Draw	Gambia
2-0 @ 14.5% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 14.11% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 70.97%	1-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 2.82% ( 0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 18.92%	0-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 10.12%