International Friendlies
Oct 7, 2026 3.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
  • Jesús Gallardo 44' yellowcard
  • Everardo del Villar 73' yellowcard
  • goal Maximiliano Gutiérrez 54'
  • goal Vicente Pizarro 65'
  • yellowcard Darío Osorio 78'

Mexico vs Chile - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 4, 2026 3.00am
USA 3 - 0 Mexico

Chile

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 30, 2026 1.00am
USA 4 - 2 Chile

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 52.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.45% and a win for Chile had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%) , while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

Mexico 52.4% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 24.45% ▲ (+0.20)
Chile 23.2% ▼ (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.6% ▼ (-0.90)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.6% ▼ (-0.82)
Under 1.5 25.4% ▲ (+0.81)
Over 2.5 49.95% ▼ (-1.05)
Under 2.5 50.05% ▲ (+1.05)
Over 3.5 28.05% ▼ (-0.90)
Under 3.5 71.95% ▲ (+0.91)
Over 4.5 15.83% ▼ (-0.66)
Under 4.5 84.17% ▲ (+0.66)

Mexico Goals

Over 1.5 48.5% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 1.5 51.5% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 2.5 22.86% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 2.5 77.14% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 3.5 8.7% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 3.5 91.3% ▲ (+0.32)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5 58.34% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 0.5 41.66% ▲ (+0.57)
Over 1.5 24.76% ▼ (-0.69)
Under 1.5 75.24% ▲ (+0.69)
Over 2.5 7.72% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 2.5 92.28% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 3.5 1.95% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 98.05% ▲ (+0.15)

Score analysis

Mexico 52.39%
Draw 24.45%
Chile 23.19%
Mexico
1-0 @ 11.46% ▲ (+0.36)
2-1 @ 9.61% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 9.48% ▲ (+0.18)
3-1 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 8.6% ▼ (-0.31)
Total : 52.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.28)
2-2 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 24.45%
Chile
0-1 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.14)
1-2 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 23.19%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Dec 9, 2021 3.05am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Santiago Gimenez 9' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 60' yellowcard
  • Jordan Silva 64' goal
  • Erik Lira 74' yellowcard
  • Julian Araujo 79' yellowcard
  • goal Ivan Morales 21'
  • yellowcard Marcelino Nunez 30'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Alberto Montecinos Naranjo 74'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Montecinos 74'
  • goal Pablo Parra 86'
International Friendlies
Mar 23, 2019 2.15am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT San Diego County Credit Union Stadium (San Diego, California)
  • Andres Guardado 13' yellowcard
  • Hirving Lozano 29' yellowcard
  • Raul Jimenez 52' goal
  • Rodolfo Pizarro 56' yellowcard
  • Hector Moreno 64' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 65' goal
  • yellowcard Mauricio Isla 61'
  • goal Nicolas Castillo 69'
  • yellowcard Charles Aranguiz 89'
International Friendlies
Oct 17, 2018 2.45am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio La Corregidora (Santiago de Querétaro)
  • Marco Fabian 58' yellowcard
  • Nestor Araujo 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alfonso Parot 22'
  • yellowcard Gary Medel 87'
  • goal Nicolas Castillo 89'
Copa America
Jun 16, 2015 12.30am
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Nacional, Santiago
  • Arturo Vidal 22' goal
  • Arturo Vidal 36' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Vargas 42' goal
  • Arturo Vidal 55' goal
  • Mauricio Pinilla 90' yellowcard
  • goal Matias Vuoso 21'
  • goal Raul Jimenez 29'
  • goal Matias Vuoso 66'
  • yellowcard Jesus Manuel Corona 76'
World Cup
Jul 16, 1930 5.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Parque Central
  • Carlos Vidal 3' goal
  • Manuel Rosas 52' goal
  • Carlos Vidal 65' goal