Club Friendlies 3
Jul 1, 2026 12.00pm
Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu

Qarabag FK vs Metalist Kharkiv - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jun 27, 2026 4.00pm
CSKA Sofia 0 - 0 Qarabag

Metalist Kharkiv

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 3.00pm
Molde 0 - 1 Metalist Kharkiv

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 54.25%. A draw has a probability of 24.54% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv has a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.96%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.6%) , while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it is 0-1 (6.28%).

Result

Qarabag FK 54.25%
Draw 24.54%
Metalist Kharkiv 21.22%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.67% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 75%
Under 1.5 25%
Over 2.5 50.75% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 49.25% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 28.58% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 71.42% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 16.75% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.25% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Qarabag FK 38.76% (+0.01)
Draw 41.44%
Metalist Kharkiv 19.81%

Team To Score First

Qarabag FK 57.58% (+0.02)
No Goal 7.13% (+0.02)
Metalist Kharkiv 35.29% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 54.25% (-0.26)
Equal 8 11.2% (+0.02)
Under 8 34.55% (+0.24)
Over 9 43.15% (-0.25)
Equal 9 11.11% (+0.01)
Under 9 45.75% (+0.26)
Over 10.5 32.98% (-0.25)
Under 10.5 67.02% (+0.24)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 1.5 49.99% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 50.01% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 24.28% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 75.72% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 9.69% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.31% (-0.02)

Metalist Kharkiv Goals

Over 0.5 56.69% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 43.31% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 23.56% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 76.44% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 7.35% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 92.65% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.91%
Under 3.5 98.09%

Score analysis

Qarabag FK 54.26%
Draw 24.54%
Metalist Kharkiv 21.22%
Qarabag FK
1-0 @ 11.61% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.96% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.46%
3-0 @ 5.56% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.29%
3-2 @ 2.81%
Other @ 9.57% (+0.02)
Total : 54.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.13% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.76%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.54%
Metalist Kharkiv
0-1 @ 6.28%
1-2 @ 5.47% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.17% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.53% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 21.22%