Club Friendlies 3
Jul 1, 2026 12.00pm
2
6
HT : 0 0
FT Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu

Qarabag FK vs Metalist Kharkiv - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jun 27, 2026 4.00pm
CSKA Sofia 0 - 0 Qarabag

Metalist Kharkiv

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 3.00pm
Molde 0 - 1 Metalist Kharkiv

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 54.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.56% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 21.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%) , while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (6.27%).

Result

Qarabag FK 54.25%
Draw 24.56% (+0.02)
Metalist Kharkiv 21.14% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.69% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.95% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 25.05% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 50.7% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 49.3% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 28.55% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 71.45% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.73% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.27% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Qarabag FK 38.93% (+0.18)
Draw 41.25% (-0.19)
Metalist Kharkiv 19.82% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Qarabag FK 57.55% (-0.04)
No Goal 7.11% (-0.02)
Metalist Kharkiv 35.34% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 54.31% (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.2%
Under 8 34.49% (-0.06)
Over 9 43.2% (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.11%
Under 9 45.69% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 33.02% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 66.98% (-0.04)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 1.5 49.96% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 50.04% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 24.28%
Under 2.5 75.72%
Over 3.5 9.69%
Under 3.5 90.31%

Metalist Kharkiv Goals

Over 0.5 56.63% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 43.37% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 23.5% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 76.5% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 7.31% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 92.69% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.9% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.1% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Qarabag FK 54.27%
Draw 24.55%
Metalist Kharkiv 21.14%
Qarabag FK
1-0 @ 11.63% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.47% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.29%
3-2 @ 2.82% (+0.01)
Other @ 9.57%
Total : 54.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.63% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.11% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.76%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.55%
Metalist Kharkiv
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.47%
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.78% (-0.02)
Total : 21.14%