Club Friendlies 3
Jun 27, 2026 4.00pm
Stadion Vasil Levski

CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag FK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

CSKA Sofia

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jun 24, 2026 5.00pm
CSKA Sofia 0 - 4 Polissya

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 16, 2026 3.00pm
Zaglebie Lubin 1 - 3 Qarabag

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest CSKA Sofia win was 2-1 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result

CSKA Sofia 31.14%
Draw 25.35%
Qarabag FK 43.51%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.3%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.59%
Under 1.5 25.41%
Over 2.5 50.71%
Under 2.5 49.29%
Over 3.5 27.22%
Under 3.5 72.78%
Over 4.5 14.71%
Under 4.5 85.29%

First Half Winner

CSKA Sofia 26.95%
Draw 41.81%
Qarabag FK 31.24%

Team To Score First

CSKA Sofia 43.05%
No Goal 7.09%
Qarabag FK 49.86%

Corners

Over 8 51.57%
Equal 8 11.37%
Under 8 37.06%
Over 9 40.52%
Equal 9 11.05%
Under 9 48.43%
Over 10.5 30.61%
Under 10.5 69.39%

CSKA Sofia Goals

Over 1.5 31.96%
Under 1.5 68.04%
Over 2.5 10.92%
Under 2.5 89.08%
Over 3.5 3.26%
Under 3.5 96.74%

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5 74.52%
Under 0.5 25.48%
Over 1.5 41.17%
Under 1.5 58.83%
Over 2.5 17.94%
Under 2.5 82.06%
Over 3.5 5.95%
Under 3.5 94.05%

Score analysis

CSKA Sofia 31.14%
Draw 25.35%
Qarabag FK 43.51%
CSKA Sofia
2-1 @ 8.14%
1-0 @ 8.12%
2-0 @ 4.82%
3-1 @ 2.82%
3-0 @ 2.2%
3-2 @ 1.79%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 31.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 7.09%
2-2 @ 5.21%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.35%
Qarabag FK
0-1 @ 10.2%
1-2 @ 9.37%
0-2 @ 6.86%
1-3 @ 4.49%
0-3 @ 3.78%
2-3 @ 2.87%
Other @ 5.94%
Total : 43.51%