Club Friendlies 3
Jan 23, 2026 2.00pm
Stadion Bâlgarska Armija

CSKA Sofia vs Novi Pazar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

CSKA Sofia

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 23, 2026 9.00am
CSKA Sofia 5 - 2 Gangwon

Novi Pazar

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 2.00pm
Novi Pazar 0 - 1 Zeljeznicar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Sofia win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.26% and a win for Novi Pazar had a probability of 20.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Sofia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%) , while for a Novi Pazar win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

CSKA Sofia 55.14% (+0.04)
Draw 24.26% (+0.05)
Novi Pazar 20.61% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.2% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.58%
Under 1.5 26.42%
Over 2.5 49.82% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 50.18% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 28.23% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 71.77% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 16.51% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 83.49% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

CSKA Sofia 39% (-0.10)
Draw 43.86% (+0.02)
Novi Pazar 17.14% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

CSKA Sofia 61.37% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.79% (+0.04)
Novi Pazar 30.84% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 52.38% (+0.20)
Equal 8 11.62% (+0.03)
Under 8 36.01% (-0.22)
Over 9 41.03% (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.35% (+0.05)
Under 9 47.62% (-0.20)
Over 10.5 30.82% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 69.18% (-0.10)

CSKA Sofia Goals

Over 1.5 50.04% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 49.96% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 24.11% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 75.89% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 9.88% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 90.12% (-0.02)

Novi Pazar Goals

Over 0.5 55% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 45% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 22.22% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 77.78% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 6.91% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 93.09% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 1.66% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.34% (+0.02)

Score analysis

CSKA Sofia 55.14%
Draw 24.25%
Novi Pazar 20.61%
CSKA Sofia
1-0 @ 12.07% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.95% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.38% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.32%
3-2 @ 2.71%
Other @ 9.81% (+0.03)
Total : 55.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 11% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.79% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 24.25%
Novi Pazar
0-1 @ 6.56%
1-2 @ 5.22% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.81%
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.51%
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.59% (-0.02)
Total : 20.61%