Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Sofia win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.26% and a win for Novi Pazar had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Sofia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%) , while for a Novi Pazar win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.